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"I took a look at some of Chris St. John's prospect research as it related to Avisail, and found a couple of interesting takeaways. Garcia's bat -- you know, the thing that will keep him in the majors, in a best-case scenario -- doesn't profile as a likely winner."
"Avisail Garcia has a 20.7% career minor-league strikeout rate, paired with just a 4.0% walk rate. That puts Garcia at the cutoff for "high" strikeout rate and far below the cutoff for a "low" walk rate. Prior to 2013, Chris gave Avisail a 67% chance of "Bust", compared to a 20% chance of "Average" and a 13% chance of being "Productive". To be fair, Garcia's strong performance in the minors and not-awful performance in the majors last season probably raise those odds a bit, but he also should have been counted on to improve in his age-22 season. "
"Even under what I'd consider a "best-case" scenario, Garcia's probably hauling around a bust rate of 40-50%. His combination of nascent power and decent bat-to-ball ability is buoyed by a complete inability to walk and a pretty high K%."
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/20...marlins-chicago-white-sox-los-angeles-dodgers
Of course the White Sox aren't likely to be "contenders" next season, and at best maybe competitive in the ALCD....so Avisail won't be under as much pressure to perform and will probably be given every opportunity to remain their starting RFer.
Tigers might not get very much offense and no power from their portion of the 3 team trade in SS Iggy, but his defense will likely be at least above average.
"Avisail Garcia has a 20.7% career minor-league strikeout rate, paired with just a 4.0% walk rate. That puts Garcia at the cutoff for "high" strikeout rate and far below the cutoff for a "low" walk rate. Prior to 2013, Chris gave Avisail a 67% chance of "Bust", compared to a 20% chance of "Average" and a 13% chance of being "Productive". To be fair, Garcia's strong performance in the minors and not-awful performance in the majors last season probably raise those odds a bit, but he also should have been counted on to improve in his age-22 season. "
"Even under what I'd consider a "best-case" scenario, Garcia's probably hauling around a bust rate of 40-50%. His combination of nascent power and decent bat-to-ball ability is buoyed by a complete inability to walk and a pretty high K%."
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/20...marlins-chicago-white-sox-los-angeles-dodgers
Of course the White Sox aren't likely to be "contenders" next season, and at best maybe competitive in the ALCD....so Avisail won't be under as much pressure to perform and will probably be given every opportunity to remain their starting RFer.
Tigers might not get very much offense and no power from their portion of the 3 team trade in SS Iggy, but his defense will likely be at least above average.
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