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2017 NFC Playoff Thread

LKP the lions aren't running the table with no running game. it's just not going to happen.
 
LKP said:
Lions are better than all five teams combined. Yes it's probable
Click to expand...

It's been a long time since I worked with probabilities but I think it goes like this

Using ESPN's FPI probability index (based on point spreads) these are the game by game win probability of the Lions final 5 games

BAL .40
TB .52
Chi .78
Cin .50
GB .66

based on those game by game win probabilities, the probability that they win all 5 is only 5%
 
Lions are the better team than all five teams. They should win all five. Most probable. No spreads, no betting, who is the better the team. The Lions. By far really
 
Back to business as always. Took you awhile to go back to your full-on troll mode.

You seem to do okay, mostly right after the Lions lose. But then you have to counter the rest of the negativity (which is all correct, by the way) to bring your warped "balance" back to the board.
 
Me thinks LKP is portraying some sort of persona that others are accepting as his actual one.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 
dubbsco said:
Back to business as always. Took you awhile to go back to your full-on troll mode.

You seem to do okay, mostly right after the Lions lose. But then you have to counter the rest of the negativity (which is all correct, by the way) to bring your warped "balance" back to the board.
Click to expand...

The negativity is far from correct. It's fake news and you people not observing what happened in the games. The Lions are a good team. That is a damn fact and they are better than the five teams they will face so should win all of them.
 
LKP said:
Lions are the better team than all five teams. They should win all five. Most probable. No spreads, no betting, who is the better the team. The Lions. By far really
Click to expand...

I'm starting to think you don't even know the meaning of probable.

I'm using historical data to come up with the probablity of a 5-0 finish. You are using LKP logic, which is based on delusional homerism.


In LKP world, it is highly probable that they finish 5-0 in "true wins".
 
tomdalton22 said:
I'm starting to think you don't even know the meaning of probable.

I'm using historical data to come up with the probablity of a 5-0 finish. You are using LKP logic, which is based on delusional homerism.


In LKP world, it is highly probable that they finish 5-0 in "true wins".
Click to expand...

Historical doesn't matter. It's who is the better team. The answer is the Lions are better than all five teams they face. They should win each game. Just happens to be all five of them.

If they were going to New England or Pittsburgh or Minnesota, I wouldn't say they would win all five. But they are going to Baltimore and Tampa and the Bengals while hosting two weak divisional rivals. Lions should win out.
 
LKP said:
The negativity is far from correct. It's fake news and you people not observing what happened in the games. The Lions are a good team. That is a damn fact and they are better than the five teams they will face so should win all of them.
Click to expand...

Ridiculous

Why bother playing the games then?

Just put it to the players' vote before each season, then award the SB championship to the top vote getter.
 
turok said:
Ridiculous

Why bother playing the games then?

Just put it to the players' vote before each season, then award the SB championship to the top vote getter.
Click to expand...

Should win the games. Still possible to lose them but should win and probable to win is not guaranteed to win. The refs and injuries and lack of execution could make it interesting. That is why sports are fun
 
LKP said:
Historical doesn't matter. It's who is the better team. The answer is the Lions are better than all five teams they face. They should win each game. Just happens to be all five of them.

If they were going to New England or Pittsburgh or Minnesota, I wouldn't say they would win all five. But they are going to Baltimore and Tampa and the Bengals while hosting two weak divisional rivals. Lions should win out.
Click to expand...

so the Lions always beat the teams that they are better than?
 
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tomdalton22 said:
so the Lions always beat the teams that they are better than?
Click to expand...

They should and have been this year for the most part. Injuries and refs caused a few losses. The Lions are healthy enough to beat the remaining five and if the refs stay out of the Lions win out
 
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LKP said:
They should and have been this year for the most part. Injuries and refs caused a few losses. The Lions are healthy enough to beat the remaining five and if the refs stay out of the Lions win out
Click to expand...

just last week you said that the Lions were better than MN in all phases of the game and they lost. So the most recent situation, when the Lions were the better team, they lost. Your logic is confusing me.
 
tomdalton22 said:
just last week you said that the Lions were better than MN in all phases of the game and they lost. So the most recent situation, when the Lions were the better team, they lost. Your logic is confusing me.
Click to expand...

Lions are the better team. I said for the most part. If the Lions are the better team they should win the game. It's probable not guaranteed.

Most probable does not mean guaranteed.
 
9 times out of 10 the Lions would win out with this schedule.


Will we see the 1 time or will we see the 9 times. We can only get to see what happens once. They should win out but it's not a guarantee but it is probable
 
LKP said:
9 times out of 10 the Lions would win out with this schedule.


Will we see the 1 time or will we see the 9 times. We can only get to see what happens once. They should win out but it's not a guarantee but it is probable
Click to expand...



Historical data suggests that the Lions win out 1 of 10 times with this type of schedule.

(See post 186)
 
tomdalton22 said:
Historical data suggests that the Lions win out 1 of 10 times with this type of schedule.

(See post 186)
Click to expand...

Historical data is not the 2017 Lions. 2017 Lions are better than all five teams they face so they should win 9 out of 10 times. Will we see that 9 or the 1
 
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LKP said:
Should win the games. Still possible to lose them but should win and probable to win is not guaranteed to win. The refs and injuries and lack of execution could make it interesting. That is why sports are fun
Click to expand...

I would consider you to be the most homerish trollposter who I have ever read, however you still fall far short of a certain Milwaukee Brewers homer who posted on the late ESPN team messageboards, and had a half-dozen or more alt-SNs which he used to create entire threads comprised of himself conversing with himself.
 
Even if the lions had a probability of 75% of winning each of the next 5 games, the odds they would win all 5 statistically would be closer to 25%.

I don't think anyone gives them a 75% chance of winning each of the next 5 games.

So now, they are not most likely to win the next 5.
 
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