Game 14: Lions @ Bills Thread

[grandy]

Detroit Lions (5-8) @ Buffalo Bills (4-9)


Previews
Pride of Detroit
Yahoo
CBS Sports
ESPN
Buffalo Rumblings


Injury Report
Link (from Friday)

Lions
WR Bruce Ellington (hamstring) - OUT
DE Da?Shawn Hand (knee) - OUT
RB Kerryon Johnson (knee) - OUT
T Rick Wagner (concussion) - OUT
DB Charles Washington (hamstring) - OUT
LB Trevor Bates (ankle) - Questionable
FB Nick Bellore (ankle) - Questionable
DB Marcus Cooper (back) - Questionable
T Taylor Decker (shoulder) - Questionable
LB Devon Kennard (hip) - Questionable
QB Matthew Stafford (back) - Questionable

Bills
CB Ryan Lewis (concussion) - OUT
K Stephen Hauschka (hip) - Questionable
RB Chris Ivory (shoulder) - Questionable
RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring) - Questionable
TE Logan Thomas (hamstring) - Questionable


Series History
Link
The Lions are 4-5-1 against the Bills
Last Game: 10/5/2014, Bills 17 Lions 14
Last Game in Buffalo: 11/14/2010, Bills 14 Lions 12
Last Win: 10/15/2006, Lions 20 Bills 17
Last Win in Buffalo: 12/22/1991, Lions 17 Bills 14
Recent Games: The Bills have won 4 of the last 5 meetings

 

[grandy]

Football Outsiders Stats

Ranks in parentheses. For info on acronyms and definitions, click on the links.

Team Efficiency

Total DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average)
Detroit -21.6% (28th)
Buffalo -25.9% (31st)

Weighted DVOA (DVOA adjusted for recent games)
Detroit -14.0% (24th)
Buffalo -20.3% (28th)

Offense DVOA
Detroit -7.4% (24th)
Buffalo -34.2% (31st)

Defense DVOA
Buffalo -12.1% (3rd)
Detroit 13.2% (29th)

Special Teams DVOA
Detroit -1.0% (21st)
Buffalo -3.8% (27th)


Team Offense

Weighted Offense DVOA
Detroit -4.7% (24th)
Buffalo -29.7% (31st)

Pass Offense
Detroit -1.7% (25th)
Buffalo -46.4% (32nd)

Rush Offense
Detroit -9.1% (21st)
Buffalo -12.7% (24th)


Team Defense

Weighted Defense DVOA
Buffalo -13.1% (3rd)
Detroit 10.9% (29th)

Pass Defense
Buffalo -11.8% (3rd)
Detroit 28.5% (31st)

Rush Defense
Buffalo -12.5% (9th)
Detroit -6.3% (20th)


Offensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 4.14 (22nd)
Buffalo 3.84 (29th)

Power Success
Detroit 65% (16th)
Buffalo 65% (17th)

Stuffed
Detroit 22.2% (26th)
Buffalo 22.3% (27th)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.21 (19th)
Buffalo 0.90 (32nd)

Open Field Yards
Detroit 0.81 (18th)
Buffalo 0.52 (29th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Detroit 7.3% (17th)
Buffalo 8.9% (27th)


Defensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Buffalo 3.99 (8th)
Detroit 4.68 (25th)

Power Success
Detroit 54% (3rd)
Buffalo 61% (11th)

Stuffed
Buffalo 28.8% (1st)
Detroit 14.0% (30th)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.24 (15th)
Buffalo 1.35 (25th)

Open Field Yards
Buffalo 0.78 (14th)
Detroit 1.29 (31st)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Detroit 8.8% (4th)
Buffalo 7.6% (13th)


Drive Stats

Net Yards/Drive
Buffalo -1.81 (20th)
Detroit -2.07 (24th)

Net Points/Drive
Detroit -0.32 (22nd)
Buffalo -0.72 (30th)

Net DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Detroit -0.024 (22nd)
Buffalo -0.050 (29th)

Offense Yards/Drive
Detroit 32.71 (18th)
Buffalo 24.59 (30th)

Offense Points/Drive
Detroit 1.92 (20th)
Buffalo 1.32 (31st)

Offense DSR
Detroit 0.712 (18th)
Buffalo 0.631 (30th)

Defense Yards/Drive
Buffalo 26.40 (2nd)
Detroit 34.78 (24th)

Defense Points/Drive
Buffalo 2.03 (16th)
Detroit 2.24 (25th)

Defense DSR
Buffalo 0.682 (5th)
Detroit 0.736 (27th)

 

[Mitchrapp]

Questionable, does that mean they have not been practicing all week?

 

[sggatecl]

Questionable, does that mean they have not been practicing all week?

Can also mean limited practice.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Can also mean limited practice.

Thanks. I know it's somewhat a 50-50 if you play but wasn't sure if it meant they practiced fully.

 

[sggatecl]

Slightly off topic, but in Yahoo! daily fantasy Matthew Stafford only costs $20. For reference to how bad that is:

That's less than some QBs who are actually backups on Sunday.

This really is a season to forget for Stafford, easily his worst yet, regardless of reasons or excuses.

 

[Mitchrapp]

I wish we had a young QB just to have a reason to sit Matt and see what the young guy has but lastly no.

 

[mhughes0021]

Buffalo 100 - lions 3.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Buffalo 100 - lions 3.

Did Buffalo just draft a whole new team?

 

[LKP]

Lions 27 Bills 6

 

[brewer229]

13-9...not sure who wins.

 

[tigermud]

Bills 20
Lions 10

 

[boogerlovejoy]

20-17 Lions

Not at all sure why I just wrote that. Gut feeling? The gin?

Who knows.

 

[turok]

Other than it being cloudy and cold, the weather shouldn't be a factor during the game tomorrow...high of 39 and light wind of 7mph.

Bills 17 Lions 12.

 

[Mitchrapp]

18-16 Lions.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

Ok.....this is definitely the gin talking but here it goes....

Zach Zenner....22 carries....113 yards and a TD

 

[Mitchrapp]

Ok.....this is definitely the gin talking but here it goes....

Zach Zenner....22 carries....113 yards and a TD

That means we'll have the lead. I know this team thinks they have a playoff shot here but try some trick plays, throw the deep ball often. A couple flee flickers..

 

[boogerlovejoy]

That means we'll have the lead. I know this team thinks they have a playoff shot here but try some trick plays, throw the deep ball often. A couple flee flickers..

I’d agree with that. Without Ellington in there it’s gonna be Kenny G, TJ Jones, Andy Jones and maybe Powell?

That quartet is about as dangerous as the Golden Girls.

Doubt we see many deep shots. But who knows, maybe tomorrow is the day Cooter realizes teams are playing us to throw 3 yard outs and designs something a bit more vertical.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Even with a full squad of talent, even before Tate was traded this team has no imagination. Not just this season either.. Just generic nothing new. Maybe try an onside kick to start the game..

 

[Mitchrapp]

When the Browns are better than you something bad happened.