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mhughes0021
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1Luke JoeckelKansas City Chiefs (2-14)COLLEGE: Texas A&MAGE: 21HT: 6-6WT: 306POS: OT
Analysis: Placing the franchise tag on Branden Albert left the Chiefs with three options that factor into this pick. They could play Joeckel at right tackle in 2013 with the goal of moving him to the left side next year; they could start Joeckel on the left side immediately to reduce the adjustment pains he could experience in shifting next year and have Albert hold down right tackle; or they could continue to entertain trade offers for Albert and try to recoup some value they traded away in the deal for Alex Smith. In any event, given the way the board sets up, my belief is they'll take the top tackle in the draft because it fills a current hole for 2013, and could fill a significant roster void in 2014. Given that their second-biggest need is an interior linebacker, they'll go with a tackle here and deal with that later.
PLAYER CARD
2Ezekiel AnsahJacksonville Jaguars (2-14)COLLEGE: BYUAGE: 23HT: 6-5WT: 271POS: DE
Analysis: The Jaguars have been saddled with a deficient pass rush for years now, and I think they will take advantage of the opportunity to take a high-ceiling 4-3 defensive end who, yes, needs some development, but should still give them impact in 2013. Cornerback is another need, and the question at quarterback persists, but the Jags can't afford to draft a quarterback at this draft slot who might be behind Blaine Gabbert on the developmental curve. They need a player that can fill an immediate void.
PLAYER CARD
3Sharrif Floyd *Oakland Raiders (4-12)COLLEGE: FloridaAGE: 20HT: 6-3WT: 297POS: DT
Pick analysis: The Raiders are in desperate need of young talent on the defensive line after a season in which they were far too often gashed by the run. Floyd is a dynamic young player, has played inside and on the edge and uses great leverage and power to drive blockers back and blow up plays. Given that it's not set exactly which base defense the Raiders will operate out of primarily in 2013, adding versatile defensive line talent also adds scheme flexibility. Floyd is young, and while very good already, provides a high-ceiling building block for a team in need of those types of players.
PLAYER CARD
4Geno SmithPhiladelphia Eagles (4-12)COLLEGE: West VirginiaAGE: 22HT: 6-2WT: 218POS: QB
Analysis: There are two realities the Eagles must face in evaluating their future at quarterback. One is that Michael Vick, while an intriguing fit under Chip Kelly, isn't a long-term solution, even if we're optimistic. Two, there's no such thing as a useful free-agent market of starting quarterbacks in this league. If you have a great quarterback, or even a pretty good one, you're going to lock him up. In drafting Smith, the Eagles are in a good position to develop an athletic, talented thrower to succeed specifically in Kelly's offense, but without the requirement that he must start from day one. I don't like the idea of Smith as a Week 1 starter in 2013 -- but for a roster that's already in a good position to compete this season, he could be a great fit for the franchise in 2014, and most importantly, a great fit for the coach.
PLAYER CARD
5Dee Milliner *Detroit Lions (4-12)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-0WT: 201POS: CB
Analysis: The Lions can plug a leaky pass defense in two ways. They could target a needed pass-rusher here, or they could go after the best cornerback in the draft if he's available. If Ansah is off the board, Detroit can sprint to the podium with the assurance that it has upgraded at cornerback, which is the second-biggest need for this team. Milliner is ready to start and succeed early, and defensive line depth in this draft should have the Lions confident they can add pass-rushing value in Round 2.
PLAYER CARD
6Dion JordanCleveland Browns (5-11)COLLEGE: OregonAGE: 23HT: 6-6WT: 248POS: OLB
Analysis: Really like this fit. I've noted before that the Browns had one of the worst pass rushes in the league last year. Jordan is a long, explosive pass-rusher with freakish athleticism and an ability to operate effectively in space. This is a guy you want to unleash in a 3-4. I think between getting him on the field and Jabaal Sheard making strides, the Browns can take a big step forward up front.
PLAYER CARD
7Eric FisherArizona Cardinals (5-11)COLLEGE: Central MichiganAGE: 22HT: 6-7WT: 306POS: OT
Analysis: It's true the Cardinals saw their offensive line improve over the second half of 2012. But they also just acquired Carson Palmer, who has all the maneuverability of a Brink's truck. They need to be able to form a pocket on a consistent basis in 2013, and that means even if Fisher is off the board here, they could still look to a tackle such as Lane Johnson. They also have a need at guard, so the presence of Fisher could allow them to move someone inside. Yes, they have other needs, but keeping Palmer upright should be the top priority.
PLAYER CARD
8Jonathan CooperBuffalo Bills (6-10)COLLEGE: North CarolinaAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: G
Analysis: The Bills actually have a good foundation on the offensive line. They should feel pretty good about four of their five starters up front. Unfortunately, they lost left guard Andy Levitre to the Titans in free agency, which could really hurt, particularly for a run game that should be strong. Cooper is a great guard, a player capable of challenging for a trip to Hawaii as a rookie. Given the situation at QB, the Bills should take advantage of the opportunity to fill the biggest void they have up front.
PLAYER CARD
9Barkevious Mingo *New York Jets (6-10)COLLEGE: LSUAGE: 22HT: 6-4WT: 242POS: OLB
Analysis: This is a pick I'm sticking with, because I really like the fit. The Jets need an athletic difference-maker on the edge for Rex Ryan. I've said before the interior of the defensive line should be a strength with Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples, but the Jets need edge speed. Mingo is a freak athlete and could become a star under Ryan's tutelage.
PLAYER CARD
10Chance Warmack *Tennessee Titans (6-10)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 314POS: G
Analysis: Adding Warmack simply provides an immediate upgrade on the interior of your offensive line. One of the more dominating run blockers to enter the draft in years, Warmack is what I'd call a "no excuses" addition to your team. If your running back isn't better running behind Warmack, it might be time for a new back. The Titans were much better in pass-blocking than run-blocking last year. Given the situation at QB, the run game needs to become more reliable. Warmack makes a difference.
PLAYER CARD
11Lane JohnsonSan Diego Chargers (7-9)COLLEGE: OklahomaAGE: 22HT: 6-6WT: 303POS: OT
Analysis: There's nothing more important for the Chargers than finding their future at left tackle. A good player who is only going to get better, Johnson can become the successor to Jared Gaither. Injuries along the offensive line have really diminished the offense over the past couple of seasons, and Philip Rivers has taken a step back because of it. Johnson, a former junior college quarterback, is a pretty gifted athlete for his size, and has been a star during the evaluation process.
PLAYER CARD
12D.J. FlukerMiami Dolphins (7-9)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-5WT: 339POS: OT
Analysis: The Dolphins will shift second-year man Jonathan Martin to left tackle in the absence of Jake Long, but it leaves a pretty big talent deficiency at right tackle, and in Fluker they get a player who is ready to step in immediately. The Dolphins have made personnel upgrades in their passing game, but they don't want the problem to become protection or an inability to run the ball and create short-yardage situations where they can open up the playbook. They do need another pass-rusher, but Fluker makes sense.
PLAYER CARD
13Star LotuleleiTampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9)COLLEGE: UtahAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: DT
Analysis: This isn't the top need for the Bucs, but now that Lotulelei has been cleared medically, he becomes a steal at this spot on the board. Cornerback is a need, but the drop off from Milliner to the best available option is enough where the Bucs miss out on some board value if they take one here. You simply can't have enough depth on the defensive line, and Lotulelei is one of those rare defensive tackles with the potential to become dominant.
PLAYER CARD
14Sheldon Richardson *Carolina Panthers (7-9)COLLEGE: MissouriAGE: 24HT: 6-2WT: 294POS: DT
Analysis: The Panthers were a bad run defense in 2012, and that's even after they drafted Luke Kuechly to hold down the middle. Well, your run defense isn't going to get better just because you get consistent tackling at linebacker. If you can't keep the blockers away from those linebackers, you're in trouble. Richardson can occupy blocks given his initial burst and his ability to read, identify and make tackles against the run himself. The Panthers need to come out of this draft with some help for the interior of their D-line.
PLAYER CARD
15Jarvis Jones *New Orleans Saints (7-9)COLLEGE: GeorgiaAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 245POS: OLB
Analysis: Jones has lost a little juice lately because he wasn't impressive at his pro day, but we're still talking about a player who led the nation in sacks, and did it against the best competition in college football. He brings a relentless style and provides a perfect pass-rushing fit at outside linebacker for a defense that needs more talent up front. The Saints had one of the NFL's worst pass rushes last year, and Jones can help in that regard.
PLAYER CARD
16Tavon AustinSt. Louis Rams (7-8-1)COLLEGE: West VirginiaAGE: 21HT: 5-8WT: 174POS: WR
Analysis: Danny Amendola will be catching passes from Tom Brady in 2013, so the Rams can certainly afford to place a high priority on a slot weapon. Austin is one of the true home run threats in this draft, and while he's perfect to work in the slot, given his speed, route-running skills and soft hands, this is a player you can get creative with. The loss of Amendola leaves a void, but Austin could even be an upgrade.
PLAYER CARD
17Tyler Eifert *Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)COLLEGE: Notre DameAGE: 22HT: 6-6WT: 250POS: TE
Analysis: Really like this fit. Eifert gives the Steelers a different kind of matchup headache for defenses -- one that doesn't directly replace Mike Wallace, but adds a new dimension to the offense. In fact, he might do more to offset the loss of Wallace than another speed threat would because he allows them to diversify. Eifert has the speed to stretch the seam and also develop routes to the edges, and can't be effectively covered by anybody. He's too tall for corners and safeties, too fast for linebackers.
PLAYER CARD
18Sylvester WilliamsDallas Cowboys (8-8)COLLEGE: North CarolinaAGE: 24HT: 6-3WT: 313POS: DT
Analysis: The Cowboys currently have 31-year-old Jay Ratliff penciled in as one starting defensive tackle, and 30-year-old Jason Hatcher penciled in as the other. Ratliff played a total of six games in 2012. There might be other needs, but if the Cowboys can't put together a decent rotation on the interior of that defensive line, the conversion to a 4-3 is going to be a personnel mess. Enter Williams, an active, powerful, interior presence who can occupy blocks and give the Cowboys a much-needed jolt of youth up front.
PLAYER CARD
19Desmond TrufantNew York Giants (9-7)COLLEGE: WashingtonAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 190POS: CB
Analysis: The Giants certainly can't assume Terrell Thomas is going to be an effective starter in 2013, and even if they could, depth at cornerback would still be a priority. In Trufant, you get a player who will make your secondary better regardless of where the needs are, because Trufant can do it all. Slot or outside, man or zone, you're going to get an effective talent. Needs at linebacker can be addressed further down the board. Trufant makes sense here, and the value fits the slot.
PLAYER CARD
20Manti Te'oChicago Bears (10-6)COLLEGE: Notre DameAGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 241POS: LB
Analysis: The Bears have added players at the linebacker position in free agency (D.J. Williams and James Anderson), but not long-term starters. And let's remember, Lance Briggs is 33 in November. If they want a reliable long-term solution, Te'o provides a great fit. Put all the drama, the combine 40 time and all the surrounding hoopla aside, and what you get in Te'o is a good football player. He's instinctive, makes tackles and is extremely effective when the defensive line provides coverage. If there's good value available here among one of the top handful of offensive lineman, that's another direction Chicago could go.
PLAYER CARD
21Alec Ogletree *Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)COLLEGE: GeorgiaAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 242POS: LB
Analysis: The addition of Vontaze Burfict last year was a home run in terms of value, but the Bengals were still deficient in their linebacking corps, mainly because Rey Maualuga just wasn't that good, particularly in coverage. Ogletree can provide some coverage relief, but he'll also attack the line of scrimmage and make plays in the backfield. He can get caught over-pursuing, but that's a good problem to have. Marvin Lewis can bring the best out of him.
PLAYER CARD
22Kenny VaccaroSt. Louis Rams (from WAS) (7-8-1)COLLEGE: TexasAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 214POS: S
Analysis: The departure of Craig Dahl for San Francisco isn't what I'd call a personnel emergency, but there's not a lot left behind him. Darian Stewart and Rodney McLeod are currently penciled in as the starters, so drafting Vaccaro guarantees you an upgrade at safety in a division where safeties are vital. San Francisco, Seattle and Arizona all can test you deep, and in a couple of cases, you need safeties who can fly up to make plays on QBs who are willing to run.
PLAYER CARD
23Cordarrelle Patterson *Minnesota Vikings (10-6)COLLEGE: TennesseeAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 216POS: WR
Analysis: The Vikings badly need a wide receiver after the Percy Harvin trade, and in Patterson they get maybe the highest-upside projection on the board at the position. Patterson needs work as a route-runner, but he's not just a straight-line deep threat on the edge. This is a guy you can move inside because he has the burst that can make him a tough cover, and he is electric with the ball in his hands -- something they'll miss in Harvin.
PLAYER CARD
24Xavier RhodesIndianapolis Colts (11-5)COLLEGE: Florida St.AGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 210POS: CB
Analysis: The Colts could go a few different ways here, but they really need to not fall in love with a certain need and see how the board breaks. If the value on the offensive line isn't there, I think Rhodes makes a lot of sense. The Colts were active in free agency, adding help in a handful of spots, but Rhodes has the chance to be the best cornerback on the roster after he gets a little seasoning. For a team that might feel it'll be playing from ahead more and more in the future, the secondary needs to be a priority.
PLAYER CARD
25Kevin MinterMinnesota Vikings (10-6) (from Seattle)COLLEGE: LSUAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 246POS: LB
Analysis: Either Ogletree or Te'o could be available here, but if you poll people around the league, you'll hear Minter's name as someone evaluators have right with those two, and even ahead of them in some cases. If the season started tomorrow, the Vikings might have journeyman Tyrone McKenzie at middle linebacker, so Minter gives them a player they can feel good about penciling into that spot in Week 1. He makes good reads, is a steady tackler and should be provided effective cover based on what the Vikings have up front.
PLAYER CARD
26Eddie Lacy *Green Bay Packers (11-5)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 22HT: 5-11WT: 231POS: RB
Analysis: The Packers have lacked top-end reliability and explosiveness at running back, and that's what Lacy can give them. He ran behind a great line at Alabama, and he offers the best combination of power and open-field shiftiness in this draft. He's the guy in this class who can run with power but also break off some big runs. He also catches the ball well and can be a good safety valve for Aaron Rodgers.
PLAYER CARD
27Robert Woods *Houston Texans (12-4)COLLEGE: USCAGE: 20HT: 6-1WT: 201POS: WR
Analysis: Andre Johnson is now officially old by the standards of the position, and although effective, he needs some help. The Texans need to find a reliable route-runner who can create space both underneath and down the field in their scheme, which offers a steady diet of play-action passes and demands that receivers can set up defenders. Woods has extremely reliable hands and is underrated in his ability to stretch defenses over the top.
PLAYER CARD
28D.J. HaydenDenver Broncos (13-3)COLLEGE: HoustonAGE: 22HT: 5-11WT: 192POS: CB
Analysis: Champ Bailey might still be locking up good receivers when I'm retired, but assuming he's not, the Broncos need to think about adding another corner. They should be playing from ahead plenty in 2013, and they'll need depth in the secondary. If not for a freak injury that nearly cost Hayden his career, we'd be talking about him as a challenger for the best cornerback on the board. His ceiling is that high. Now fully recovered, he's ready to impact a defense in 2013.
PLAYER CARD
29Justin Hunter *New England Patriots (12-4)COLLEGE: TennesseeAGE: 21HT: 6-4WT: 196POS: WR
Analysis: The presence of Brandon Lloyd provided at least some cover for what the Patriots like to do in the short and intermediate areas with their tight end duo, but now having filled the slot receiver position with Danny Amendola, they're definitely in the market for a receiver who provides a legitimate speed threat, someone who will keep safeties in fear of creeping up. The additions of Donald Jones and Michael Jenkins don't fill that void. Hunter has elite straight-line speed and is a potential touchdown on any play. He offers a constant threat.
PLAYER CARD
30Kyle LongAtlanta Falcons (13-3)COLLEGE: OregonAGE: 24HT: 6-6WT: 313POS: OL
Analysis: A very good athlete for his size, Long was asked to utilize a lot of short-area power and quickness at Oregon. He gives the Falcons some options. They have an immediate need at guard, and because Long has played both tackle and guard, he could step into the guard role and help the offensive line in 2013, then offer a future at either tackle position. The Falcons have been good talent evaluators, and Long is, above all, a guy with a lot of talent who can help now and into the future as they develop him.
PLAYER CARD
31Margus HuntSan Francisco 49ers (11-4-1)COLLEGE: SMUAGE: 25HT: 6-8WT: 277POS: DE
Analysis: Justin Smith will be 34 in September, and the 49ers need to think about adding versatile pass rush options. Pound for pound, Hunt is as good an athlete as you'll find in this draft, and the 49ers currently have a roster that allows them to draft for ceiling at this slot. Hunt could add a little bulk and could become a rotation player behind Smith this season, with the potential to become that rare kind of impact pass-rusher in a 3-4 scheme from the defensive end position.
PLAYER CARD
32Jonathan CyprienBaltimore Ravens (10-6)COLLEGE: Florida InternationalAGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 217POS: S
Analysis: Ed Reed is now in Houston, but even with the addition of Michael Huff, the Ravens will still be looking for a versatile safety. Cyprien is an experienced player who can step in immediately. He's a smart player, takes good routes to the ball and is an effective tackler in space. This is a deep safety class, so the Ravens could certainly go another route here, particularly if one of the interior linebackers (Minter? Te'o?) is still around at this slot.
PLAYER CARD
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Second Round
Note: Cleveland Browns (2012 supplemental draft) and New Orleans Saints (forfeited due to bounty penalties) do not own 2013 second-round picks.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars
Matt Barkley, QB, USC
A player who can push the incumbent starter, but with less risk at this slot.
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34. San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City)
Matt Elam *, S, Florida
They added Craig Dahl, but safety is still a need. A deep class offers options.
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35. Philadelphia Eagles
Menelik Watson, OT, Florida St.
With the talent and upside of a first-round pick, Watson fills another big need.
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36. Detroit Lions
Bjoern Werner *, DE, Florida St.
They got a corner in Round 1. Now they look to upgrade the pass rush.
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37. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)
Shamarko Thomas, S, Syracuse
Physically gifted, Thomas upgrades team speed in the secondary.
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38. Arizona Cardinals
Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
A perfect fit in their scheme, Jones is an interior penetrator at defensive end.
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39. New York Jets
Zach Ertz *, TE, Stanford
A reliable intermediate target, Ertz will take pressure off the quarterback.
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40. Tennessee Titans
Keenan Allen *, WR, Cal
Great hands, route-running skills and a threat with the ball in his hands.
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41. Buffalo Bills
Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
They added Kevin Kolb, but Nassib could be the quarterback of the future.
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42. Miami Dolphins
Tank Carradine, DE, Florida St.
They fill the void at tackle in Round 1 and target a needed pass-rusher in Round 2.
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43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise St.
Cornerback is the biggest need for the Bucs, and Taylor can help early.
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44. Carolina Panthers
D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina
They hit a need up front in Round 1 and take advantage of a deep safety class here.
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45. San Diego Chargers
Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas St.
Brown could be off the board in Round 1, but fills a need at linebacker if available.
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46. St. Louis Rams
Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin
Minus Steven Jackson, their depth chart at running back is set with this addition.
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47. Dallas Cowboys
Justin Pugh, OL, Syracuse
Pugh has the versatility to help inside or at right tackle for a line in need of help.
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48. Pittsburgh Steelers
Cornelius Washington, OLB, Georgia
A physical freak, Washington could become a star under Dick LeBeau's tutelage.
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49. New York Giants
Sio Moore, LB, Connecticut
They take care of cornerback in Round 1 and fill a void at linebacker here.
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50. Chicago Bears
Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
Want to help your linebackers? Add a block-eater like Williams.
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51. Washington Redskins
Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut
If he's around this late, the Redskins can add help at a major area of need.
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52. Minnesota Vikings
Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
The defensive tackles in Minnesota are an aging group. Short jumps into the rotation.
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53. Cincinnati Bengals
Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi St.
Still developing his coverage skills, Banks offers upside in Round 2.
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54. Miami Dolphins (from Indianapolis)
Robert Alford, CB, S.E. Louisiana
One of the top sleepers on my board, Alford hits an area of need at cornerback.
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55. Green Bay Packers
J.J. Wilcox, S, Georgia Southern
The Packers are set at cornerback, but need to add a safety in the first three rounds.
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56. Seattle Seahawks
Johnathan Hankins *, DT, Ohio St.
He's fallen due to draft depth at the position, but Hankins helps at a need position.
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57. Houston Texans
John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
He moves incredibly well at 348 pounds and will help solidify the middle of that line.
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58. Denver Broncos
Damontre Moore *, DE, Texas A&M
He's fallen during the postseason evaluation process, but was extremly productive.
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59. New England Patriots
Tyrann Mathieu *, CB, LSU
A perfect fit in New England, the Patriots might want to wait and hope he's there later.
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60. Atlanta Falcons
Khaseem Greene, LB, Rutgers
Ready to play now, Greene pursues quickly but under control, and simply makes plays.
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61. San Francisco 49ers
Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego St.
A huge target for Colin Kaepernick, Escobar can keep the two-tight end look intact.
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62. Baltimore Ravens
Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
A great physical talent, Armstead is a steal this far down the board.
Analysis: Placing the franchise tag on Branden Albert left the Chiefs with three options that factor into this pick. They could play Joeckel at right tackle in 2013 with the goal of moving him to the left side next year; they could start Joeckel on the left side immediately to reduce the adjustment pains he could experience in shifting next year and have Albert hold down right tackle; or they could continue to entertain trade offers for Albert and try to recoup some value they traded away in the deal for Alex Smith. In any event, given the way the board sets up, my belief is they'll take the top tackle in the draft because it fills a current hole for 2013, and could fill a significant roster void in 2014. Given that their second-biggest need is an interior linebacker, they'll go with a tackle here and deal with that later.
PLAYER CARD
2Ezekiel AnsahJacksonville Jaguars (2-14)COLLEGE: BYUAGE: 23HT: 6-5WT: 271POS: DE
Analysis: The Jaguars have been saddled with a deficient pass rush for years now, and I think they will take advantage of the opportunity to take a high-ceiling 4-3 defensive end who, yes, needs some development, but should still give them impact in 2013. Cornerback is another need, and the question at quarterback persists, but the Jags can't afford to draft a quarterback at this draft slot who might be behind Blaine Gabbert on the developmental curve. They need a player that can fill an immediate void.
PLAYER CARD
3Sharrif Floyd *Oakland Raiders (4-12)COLLEGE: FloridaAGE: 20HT: 6-3WT: 297POS: DT
Pick analysis: The Raiders are in desperate need of young talent on the defensive line after a season in which they were far too often gashed by the run. Floyd is a dynamic young player, has played inside and on the edge and uses great leverage and power to drive blockers back and blow up plays. Given that it's not set exactly which base defense the Raiders will operate out of primarily in 2013, adding versatile defensive line talent also adds scheme flexibility. Floyd is young, and while very good already, provides a high-ceiling building block for a team in need of those types of players.
PLAYER CARD
4Geno SmithPhiladelphia Eagles (4-12)COLLEGE: West VirginiaAGE: 22HT: 6-2WT: 218POS: QB
Analysis: There are two realities the Eagles must face in evaluating their future at quarterback. One is that Michael Vick, while an intriguing fit under Chip Kelly, isn't a long-term solution, even if we're optimistic. Two, there's no such thing as a useful free-agent market of starting quarterbacks in this league. If you have a great quarterback, or even a pretty good one, you're going to lock him up. In drafting Smith, the Eagles are in a good position to develop an athletic, talented thrower to succeed specifically in Kelly's offense, but without the requirement that he must start from day one. I don't like the idea of Smith as a Week 1 starter in 2013 -- but for a roster that's already in a good position to compete this season, he could be a great fit for the franchise in 2014, and most importantly, a great fit for the coach.
PLAYER CARD
5Dee Milliner *Detroit Lions (4-12)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-0WT: 201POS: CB
Analysis: The Lions can plug a leaky pass defense in two ways. They could target a needed pass-rusher here, or they could go after the best cornerback in the draft if he's available. If Ansah is off the board, Detroit can sprint to the podium with the assurance that it has upgraded at cornerback, which is the second-biggest need for this team. Milliner is ready to start and succeed early, and defensive line depth in this draft should have the Lions confident they can add pass-rushing value in Round 2.
PLAYER CARD
6Dion JordanCleveland Browns (5-11)COLLEGE: OregonAGE: 23HT: 6-6WT: 248POS: OLB
Analysis: Really like this fit. I've noted before that the Browns had one of the worst pass rushes in the league last year. Jordan is a long, explosive pass-rusher with freakish athleticism and an ability to operate effectively in space. This is a guy you want to unleash in a 3-4. I think between getting him on the field and Jabaal Sheard making strides, the Browns can take a big step forward up front.
PLAYER CARD
7Eric FisherArizona Cardinals (5-11)COLLEGE: Central MichiganAGE: 22HT: 6-7WT: 306POS: OT
Analysis: It's true the Cardinals saw their offensive line improve over the second half of 2012. But they also just acquired Carson Palmer, who has all the maneuverability of a Brink's truck. They need to be able to form a pocket on a consistent basis in 2013, and that means even if Fisher is off the board here, they could still look to a tackle such as Lane Johnson. They also have a need at guard, so the presence of Fisher could allow them to move someone inside. Yes, they have other needs, but keeping Palmer upright should be the top priority.
PLAYER CARD
8Jonathan CooperBuffalo Bills (6-10)COLLEGE: North CarolinaAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: G
Analysis: The Bills actually have a good foundation on the offensive line. They should feel pretty good about four of their five starters up front. Unfortunately, they lost left guard Andy Levitre to the Titans in free agency, which could really hurt, particularly for a run game that should be strong. Cooper is a great guard, a player capable of challenging for a trip to Hawaii as a rookie. Given the situation at QB, the Bills should take advantage of the opportunity to fill the biggest void they have up front.
PLAYER CARD
9Barkevious Mingo *New York Jets (6-10)COLLEGE: LSUAGE: 22HT: 6-4WT: 242POS: OLB
Analysis: This is a pick I'm sticking with, because I really like the fit. The Jets need an athletic difference-maker on the edge for Rex Ryan. I've said before the interior of the defensive line should be a strength with Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples, but the Jets need edge speed. Mingo is a freak athlete and could become a star under Ryan's tutelage.
PLAYER CARD
10Chance Warmack *Tennessee Titans (6-10)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 314POS: G
Analysis: Adding Warmack simply provides an immediate upgrade on the interior of your offensive line. One of the more dominating run blockers to enter the draft in years, Warmack is what I'd call a "no excuses" addition to your team. If your running back isn't better running behind Warmack, it might be time for a new back. The Titans were much better in pass-blocking than run-blocking last year. Given the situation at QB, the run game needs to become more reliable. Warmack makes a difference.
PLAYER CARD
11Lane JohnsonSan Diego Chargers (7-9)COLLEGE: OklahomaAGE: 22HT: 6-6WT: 303POS: OT
Analysis: There's nothing more important for the Chargers than finding their future at left tackle. A good player who is only going to get better, Johnson can become the successor to Jared Gaither. Injuries along the offensive line have really diminished the offense over the past couple of seasons, and Philip Rivers has taken a step back because of it. Johnson, a former junior college quarterback, is a pretty gifted athlete for his size, and has been a star during the evaluation process.
PLAYER CARD
12D.J. FlukerMiami Dolphins (7-9)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 21HT: 6-5WT: 339POS: OT
Analysis: The Dolphins will shift second-year man Jonathan Martin to left tackle in the absence of Jake Long, but it leaves a pretty big talent deficiency at right tackle, and in Fluker they get a player who is ready to step in immediately. The Dolphins have made personnel upgrades in their passing game, but they don't want the problem to become protection or an inability to run the ball and create short-yardage situations where they can open up the playbook. They do need another pass-rusher, but Fluker makes sense.
PLAYER CARD
13Star LotuleleiTampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9)COLLEGE: UtahAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: DT
Analysis: This isn't the top need for the Bucs, but now that Lotulelei has been cleared medically, he becomes a steal at this spot on the board. Cornerback is a need, but the drop off from Milliner to the best available option is enough where the Bucs miss out on some board value if they take one here. You simply can't have enough depth on the defensive line, and Lotulelei is one of those rare defensive tackles with the potential to become dominant.
PLAYER CARD
14Sheldon Richardson *Carolina Panthers (7-9)COLLEGE: MissouriAGE: 24HT: 6-2WT: 294POS: DT
Analysis: The Panthers were a bad run defense in 2012, and that's even after they drafted Luke Kuechly to hold down the middle. Well, your run defense isn't going to get better just because you get consistent tackling at linebacker. If you can't keep the blockers away from those linebackers, you're in trouble. Richardson can occupy blocks given his initial burst and his ability to read, identify and make tackles against the run himself. The Panthers need to come out of this draft with some help for the interior of their D-line.
PLAYER CARD
15Jarvis Jones *New Orleans Saints (7-9)COLLEGE: GeorgiaAGE: 23HT: 6-2WT: 245POS: OLB
Analysis: Jones has lost a little juice lately because he wasn't impressive at his pro day, but we're still talking about a player who led the nation in sacks, and did it against the best competition in college football. He brings a relentless style and provides a perfect pass-rushing fit at outside linebacker for a defense that needs more talent up front. The Saints had one of the NFL's worst pass rushes last year, and Jones can help in that regard.
PLAYER CARD
16Tavon AustinSt. Louis Rams (7-8-1)COLLEGE: West VirginiaAGE: 21HT: 5-8WT: 174POS: WR
Analysis: Danny Amendola will be catching passes from Tom Brady in 2013, so the Rams can certainly afford to place a high priority on a slot weapon. Austin is one of the true home run threats in this draft, and while he's perfect to work in the slot, given his speed, route-running skills and soft hands, this is a player you can get creative with. The loss of Amendola leaves a void, but Austin could even be an upgrade.
PLAYER CARD
17Tyler Eifert *Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)COLLEGE: Notre DameAGE: 22HT: 6-6WT: 250POS: TE
Analysis: Really like this fit. Eifert gives the Steelers a different kind of matchup headache for defenses -- one that doesn't directly replace Mike Wallace, but adds a new dimension to the offense. In fact, he might do more to offset the loss of Wallace than another speed threat would because he allows them to diversify. Eifert has the speed to stretch the seam and also develop routes to the edges, and can't be effectively covered by anybody. He's too tall for corners and safeties, too fast for linebackers.
PLAYER CARD
18Sylvester WilliamsDallas Cowboys (8-8)COLLEGE: North CarolinaAGE: 24HT: 6-3WT: 313POS: DT
Analysis: The Cowboys currently have 31-year-old Jay Ratliff penciled in as one starting defensive tackle, and 30-year-old Jason Hatcher penciled in as the other. Ratliff played a total of six games in 2012. There might be other needs, but if the Cowboys can't put together a decent rotation on the interior of that defensive line, the conversion to a 4-3 is going to be a personnel mess. Enter Williams, an active, powerful, interior presence who can occupy blocks and give the Cowboys a much-needed jolt of youth up front.
PLAYER CARD
19Desmond TrufantNew York Giants (9-7)COLLEGE: WashingtonAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 190POS: CB
Analysis: The Giants certainly can't assume Terrell Thomas is going to be an effective starter in 2013, and even if they could, depth at cornerback would still be a priority. In Trufant, you get a player who will make your secondary better regardless of where the needs are, because Trufant can do it all. Slot or outside, man or zone, you're going to get an effective talent. Needs at linebacker can be addressed further down the board. Trufant makes sense here, and the value fits the slot.
PLAYER CARD
20Manti Te'oChicago Bears (10-6)COLLEGE: Notre DameAGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 241POS: LB
Analysis: The Bears have added players at the linebacker position in free agency (D.J. Williams and James Anderson), but not long-term starters. And let's remember, Lance Briggs is 33 in November. If they want a reliable long-term solution, Te'o provides a great fit. Put all the drama, the combine 40 time and all the surrounding hoopla aside, and what you get in Te'o is a good football player. He's instinctive, makes tackles and is extremely effective when the defensive line provides coverage. If there's good value available here among one of the top handful of offensive lineman, that's another direction Chicago could go.
PLAYER CARD
21Alec Ogletree *Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)COLLEGE: GeorgiaAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 242POS: LB
Analysis: The addition of Vontaze Burfict last year was a home run in terms of value, but the Bengals were still deficient in their linebacking corps, mainly because Rey Maualuga just wasn't that good, particularly in coverage. Ogletree can provide some coverage relief, but he'll also attack the line of scrimmage and make plays in the backfield. He can get caught over-pursuing, but that's a good problem to have. Marvin Lewis can bring the best out of him.
PLAYER CARD
22Kenny VaccaroSt. Louis Rams (from WAS) (7-8-1)COLLEGE: TexasAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 214POS: S
Analysis: The departure of Craig Dahl for San Francisco isn't what I'd call a personnel emergency, but there's not a lot left behind him. Darian Stewart and Rodney McLeod are currently penciled in as the starters, so drafting Vaccaro guarantees you an upgrade at safety in a division where safeties are vital. San Francisco, Seattle and Arizona all can test you deep, and in a couple of cases, you need safeties who can fly up to make plays on QBs who are willing to run.
PLAYER CARD
23Cordarrelle Patterson *Minnesota Vikings (10-6)COLLEGE: TennesseeAGE: 21HT: 6-2WT: 216POS: WR
Analysis: The Vikings badly need a wide receiver after the Percy Harvin trade, and in Patterson they get maybe the highest-upside projection on the board at the position. Patterson needs work as a route-runner, but he's not just a straight-line deep threat on the edge. This is a guy you can move inside because he has the burst that can make him a tough cover, and he is electric with the ball in his hands -- something they'll miss in Harvin.
PLAYER CARD
24Xavier RhodesIndianapolis Colts (11-5)COLLEGE: Florida St.AGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 210POS: CB
Analysis: The Colts could go a few different ways here, but they really need to not fall in love with a certain need and see how the board breaks. If the value on the offensive line isn't there, I think Rhodes makes a lot of sense. The Colts were active in free agency, adding help in a handful of spots, but Rhodes has the chance to be the best cornerback on the roster after he gets a little seasoning. For a team that might feel it'll be playing from ahead more and more in the future, the secondary needs to be a priority.
PLAYER CARD
25Kevin MinterMinnesota Vikings (10-6) (from Seattle)COLLEGE: LSUAGE: 22HT: 6-0WT: 246POS: LB
Analysis: Either Ogletree or Te'o could be available here, but if you poll people around the league, you'll hear Minter's name as someone evaluators have right with those two, and even ahead of them in some cases. If the season started tomorrow, the Vikings might have journeyman Tyrone McKenzie at middle linebacker, so Minter gives them a player they can feel good about penciling into that spot in Week 1. He makes good reads, is a steady tackler and should be provided effective cover based on what the Vikings have up front.
PLAYER CARD
26Eddie Lacy *Green Bay Packers (11-5)COLLEGE: AlabamaAGE: 22HT: 5-11WT: 231POS: RB
Analysis: The Packers have lacked top-end reliability and explosiveness at running back, and that's what Lacy can give them. He ran behind a great line at Alabama, and he offers the best combination of power and open-field shiftiness in this draft. He's the guy in this class who can run with power but also break off some big runs. He also catches the ball well and can be a good safety valve for Aaron Rodgers.
PLAYER CARD
27Robert Woods *Houston Texans (12-4)COLLEGE: USCAGE: 20HT: 6-1WT: 201POS: WR
Analysis: Andre Johnson is now officially old by the standards of the position, and although effective, he needs some help. The Texans need to find a reliable route-runner who can create space both underneath and down the field in their scheme, which offers a steady diet of play-action passes and demands that receivers can set up defenders. Woods has extremely reliable hands and is underrated in his ability to stretch defenses over the top.
PLAYER CARD
28D.J. HaydenDenver Broncos (13-3)COLLEGE: HoustonAGE: 22HT: 5-11WT: 192POS: CB
Analysis: Champ Bailey might still be locking up good receivers when I'm retired, but assuming he's not, the Broncos need to think about adding another corner. They should be playing from ahead plenty in 2013, and they'll need depth in the secondary. If not for a freak injury that nearly cost Hayden his career, we'd be talking about him as a challenger for the best cornerback on the board. His ceiling is that high. Now fully recovered, he's ready to impact a defense in 2013.
PLAYER CARD
29Justin Hunter *New England Patriots (12-4)COLLEGE: TennesseeAGE: 21HT: 6-4WT: 196POS: WR
Analysis: The presence of Brandon Lloyd provided at least some cover for what the Patriots like to do in the short and intermediate areas with their tight end duo, but now having filled the slot receiver position with Danny Amendola, they're definitely in the market for a receiver who provides a legitimate speed threat, someone who will keep safeties in fear of creeping up. The additions of Donald Jones and Michael Jenkins don't fill that void. Hunter has elite straight-line speed and is a potential touchdown on any play. He offers a constant threat.
PLAYER CARD
30Kyle LongAtlanta Falcons (13-3)COLLEGE: OregonAGE: 24HT: 6-6WT: 313POS: OL
Analysis: A very good athlete for his size, Long was asked to utilize a lot of short-area power and quickness at Oregon. He gives the Falcons some options. They have an immediate need at guard, and because Long has played both tackle and guard, he could step into the guard role and help the offensive line in 2013, then offer a future at either tackle position. The Falcons have been good talent evaluators, and Long is, above all, a guy with a lot of talent who can help now and into the future as they develop him.
PLAYER CARD
31Margus HuntSan Francisco 49ers (11-4-1)COLLEGE: SMUAGE: 25HT: 6-8WT: 277POS: DE
Analysis: Justin Smith will be 34 in September, and the 49ers need to think about adding versatile pass rush options. Pound for pound, Hunt is as good an athlete as you'll find in this draft, and the 49ers currently have a roster that allows them to draft for ceiling at this slot. Hunt could add a little bulk and could become a rotation player behind Smith this season, with the potential to become that rare kind of impact pass-rusher in a 3-4 scheme from the defensive end position.
PLAYER CARD
32Jonathan CyprienBaltimore Ravens (10-6)COLLEGE: Florida InternationalAGE: 22HT: 6-1WT: 217POS: S
Analysis: Ed Reed is now in Houston, but even with the addition of Michael Huff, the Ravens will still be looking for a versatile safety. Cyprien is an experienced player who can step in immediately. He's a smart player, takes good routes to the ball and is an effective tackler in space. This is a deep safety class, so the Ravens could certainly go another route here, particularly if one of the interior linebackers (Minter? Te'o?) is still around at this slot.
PLAYER CARD
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Second Round
Note: Cleveland Browns (2012 supplemental draft) and New Orleans Saints (forfeited due to bounty penalties) do not own 2013 second-round picks.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars
Matt Barkley, QB, USC
A player who can push the incumbent starter, but with less risk at this slot.
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34. San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City)
Matt Elam *, S, Florida
They added Craig Dahl, but safety is still a need. A deep class offers options.
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35. Philadelphia Eagles
Menelik Watson, OT, Florida St.
With the talent and upside of a first-round pick, Watson fills another big need.
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36. Detroit Lions
Bjoern Werner *, DE, Florida St.
They got a corner in Round 1. Now they look to upgrade the pass rush.
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37. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)
Shamarko Thomas, S, Syracuse
Physically gifted, Thomas upgrades team speed in the secondary.
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38. Arizona Cardinals
Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
A perfect fit in their scheme, Jones is an interior penetrator at defensive end.
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39. New York Jets
Zach Ertz *, TE, Stanford
A reliable intermediate target, Ertz will take pressure off the quarterback.
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40. Tennessee Titans
Keenan Allen *, WR, Cal
Great hands, route-running skills and a threat with the ball in his hands.
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41. Buffalo Bills
Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
They added Kevin Kolb, but Nassib could be the quarterback of the future.
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42. Miami Dolphins
Tank Carradine, DE, Florida St.
They fill the void at tackle in Round 1 and target a needed pass-rusher in Round 2.
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43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise St.
Cornerback is the biggest need for the Bucs, and Taylor can help early.
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44. Carolina Panthers
D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina
They hit a need up front in Round 1 and take advantage of a deep safety class here.
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45. San Diego Chargers
Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas St.
Brown could be off the board in Round 1, but fills a need at linebacker if available.
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46. St. Louis Rams
Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin
Minus Steven Jackson, their depth chart at running back is set with this addition.
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47. Dallas Cowboys
Justin Pugh, OL, Syracuse
Pugh has the versatility to help inside or at right tackle for a line in need of help.
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48. Pittsburgh Steelers
Cornelius Washington, OLB, Georgia
A physical freak, Washington could become a star under Dick LeBeau's tutelage.
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49. New York Giants
Sio Moore, LB, Connecticut
They take care of cornerback in Round 1 and fill a void at linebacker here.
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50. Chicago Bears
Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
Want to help your linebackers? Add a block-eater like Williams.
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51. Washington Redskins
Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut
If he's around this late, the Redskins can add help at a major area of need.
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52. Minnesota Vikings
Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
The defensive tackles in Minnesota are an aging group. Short jumps into the rotation.
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53. Cincinnati Bengals
Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi St.
Still developing his coverage skills, Banks offers upside in Round 2.
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54. Miami Dolphins (from Indianapolis)
Robert Alford, CB, S.E. Louisiana
One of the top sleepers on my board, Alford hits an area of need at cornerback.
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55. Green Bay Packers
J.J. Wilcox, S, Georgia Southern
The Packers are set at cornerback, but need to add a safety in the first three rounds.
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56. Seattle Seahawks
Johnathan Hankins *, DT, Ohio St.
He's fallen due to draft depth at the position, but Hankins helps at a need position.
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57. Houston Texans
John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
He moves incredibly well at 348 pounds and will help solidify the middle of that line.
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58. Denver Broncos
Damontre Moore *, DE, Texas A&M
He's fallen during the postseason evaluation process, but was extremly productive.
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59. New England Patriots
Tyrann Mathieu *, CB, LSU
A perfect fit in New England, the Patriots might want to wait and hope he's there later.
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60. Atlanta Falcons
Khaseem Greene, LB, Rutgers
Ready to play now, Greene pursues quickly but under control, and simply makes plays.
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61. San Francisco 49ers
Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego St.
A huge target for Colin Kaepernick, Escobar can keep the two-tight end look intact.
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62. Baltimore Ravens
Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
A great physical talent, Armstead is a steal this far down the board.
