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inkfreq
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http://www.prideofdetroit.com/2016/...off-odds-five-thirty-eight-football-outsiders
I will say on a serious note, Nate Silver's prediction model has been about the most accurate model we've seen thus far. However, I do not believe there will ever come a time when a computer can predict a sporting event with enough accuracy to be reliable.
Computers don't understand when a guy has the flu, or just doesn't want to play as hard. Computers don't account for bad turf, odd winds, or the inevitable Ed Hochuli "WTF Play of the Game" where the refs make a call while scratching their heads and trying not to look too much like underdeveloped gorillas.
Computers can't account for fan noise, or even momentum shifts after a couple of lucky throws in a row.
I don't buy into this stuff at all... but while ever Lions fan thinks we're coming up empty, the computers say it's a good day to be a Lions fan.
I will say on a serious note, Nate Silver's prediction model has been about the most accurate model we've seen thus far. However, I do not believe there will ever come a time when a computer can predict a sporting event with enough accuracy to be reliable.
Computers don't understand when a guy has the flu, or just doesn't want to play as hard. Computers don't account for bad turf, odd winds, or the inevitable Ed Hochuli "WTF Play of the Game" where the refs make a call while scratching their heads and trying not to look too much like underdeveloped gorillas.
Computers can't account for fan noise, or even momentum shifts after a couple of lucky throws in a row.
I don't buy into this stuff at all... but while ever Lions fan thinks we're coming up empty, the computers say it's a good day to be a Lions fan.