(Rather than re-type, I just posted this in the GBiA thread)
Took too many chances on upsets. Eleven in all, though most were low point-wise. My two biggest (Baylor, 21 and Rice, 16) both came through for me.
I looked at the numbers this afternoon and the only chance I had of winning was to switch my pick to ND, hope for an upset, and also hope everyone above me picked Bama. I see you (tinsel) took ND for 30 points, so either you win and I come in 2nd (which looks very improbable with Bama up 14-0 and going in again) or we end up 4th and 5th.
Oh well, I already locked up one of my groups and the third doesn't use confidence points so the 11 upsets screwed me. I should have used a different strategy in that group. Without confidence points you might as well just take all the favorites.