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Billery wins NV

If the bottom three end thier bid I think it gets very tight moving forward I don't think most Carson, bush and kasich supporters would go to trump...
 
Jeb bush has just announced he's out,,Carson says he's not going anywhere, kasich also staying in
 
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tigermud said:
Jeb bush has just announced he's out,,Carson says he's not going anywhere, kasich also staying in
Click to expand...

Where are the Bush supporters going to go?

One would think to Kasich or Rubio.

How long does Kasich stay in? If Kasich goes out, it would seem both Bush's and Kasich's support - or the most of it - goes to Rubio.

Were that to have been the case tonight, Rubio would have beaten Trump 37% to 32%.

In the world of non-reality in which Carson lives, I imagine he's serious about continuing on, primarily because he really has nothing better to do - even if all he does is show up at the debates.

And the big question - can Trump be stopped from winning a first round nomination, and having the Republican convention go on to multiple ballot brokered convention?
 
tinselwolverine said:
Where are the Bush supporters going to go?

One would think to Kasich or Rubio.

How long does Kasich stay in? If Kasich goes out, it would seem both Bush's and Kasich's support - or the most of it - goes to Rubio.

Were that to have been the case tonight, Rubio would have beaten Trump 37% to 32%.

In the world of non-reality in which Carson lives, I imagine he's serious about continuing on, primarily because he really has nothing better to do - even if all he does is show up at the debates.

And the big question - can Trump be stopped from winning a first round nomination, and having the Republican convention go on to multiple ballot brokered convention?
Click to expand...

Carson is pretty popular according to Facebook, but the polls or votes don't seem to agree

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/facebook-primary/
 
tinselwolverine said:
Where are the Bush supporters going to go?

One would think to Kasich or Rubio.

How long does Kasich stay in? If Kasich goes out, it would seem both Bush's and Kasich's support - or the most of it - goes to Rubio.

Were that to have been the case tonight, Rubio would have beaten Trump 37% to 32%.

In the world of non-reality in which Carson lives, I imagine he's serious about continuing on, primarily because he really has nothing better to do - even if all he does is show up at the debates.

And the big question - can Trump be stopped from winning a first round nomination, and having the Republican convention go on to multiple ballot brokered convention?
Click to expand...

I suspect the same, majority of those votes would go to Rubio.
 
The super delegates issue may not really sink sanders. As i understand it, they arent actually committed to a candidate now. though as "party insiders" they definitely lean toward Billary.

in 2008 they mostly went over to Obama after he started winning primaries after Super Tuesday. Sanders isn't quite there yet though but his showing in Nevada was pretty solid. he's not going away anytime soon
 
michchamp said:
The super delegates issue may not really sink sanders. As i understand it, they arent actually committed to a candidate now. though as "party insiders" they definitely lean toward Billary.

in 2008 they mostly went over to Obama after he started winning primaries after Super Tuesday. Sanders isn't quite there yet though but his showing in Nevada was pretty solid. he's not going away anytime soon
Click to expand...

Yeah, the more I read about them, the less I thought they could swing the outcome. If anything, they made it worse for Hillary due to the narrative associated with Bernie winning, but tying in New Hampshire.
 
michchamp said:
The super delegates issue may not really sink sanders. As i understand it, they arent actually committed to a candidate now. though as "party insiders" they definitely lean toward Billary.

in 2008 they mostly went over to Obama after he started winning primaries after Super Tuesday. Sanders isn't quite there yet though but his showing in Nevada was pretty solid. he's not going away anytime soon
Click to expand...


She has is all but wrapped up now, completely rigged to her favor IMO, I hope enough dems just say no and cross over to trump in the general if it comes down that match up.

Delegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep Climb

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/22/u...-leaving-bernie-sanders-with-steep-climb.html
 
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Thumb said:
I'd be pretty surprised if a single Democrat (real democrat) voted for Trump in the general, no matter who the Dem nominee was.
Click to expand...

Not a single one eh? not if they are real democrats. ahhh ok. Funny stuff.
 
tigermud said:
Not a single one eh? not if they are real democrats. ahhh ok. Funny stuff.
Click to expand...



Well you infer that they would vote for Trump out of spite at Hillary, but even then Hillary would be the far, far, lesser of two evils.
 
Thumb said:
Well you infer that they would vote for Trump out of spite at Hillary, but even then Hillary would be the far, far, lesser of two evils.
Click to expand...

I get what you're saying...I just can't believe any republicans would vote for him either. And that's without his history of supporting the democrats more than the republicans.
 
Thumb said:
Well you infer that they would vote for Trump out of spite at Hillary, but even then Hillary would be the far, far, lesser of two evils.
Click to expand...

No, I infer some may vote for him as the better choice to bring jobs back and expand the econ for the better, do more to level the playing field from all the damage those NATFA/GATT/TPP supporting repodems have created at which she has supported and would provide no reason to believe it wouldn't be more of the same. We'll agree to disagree on the lessor of two evils comment. I'm saying I think he'd get more crossover votes than any of the other republican party choices running if it were Trump Clinton v's Trump Sanders or any other R v's either. I think he's the only one that can beat her. It amazes me how unions can still support these guys and gals when they support so many deals that ship jobs overseas and make for smaller unions.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...cline-of-american-unions-in-one-animated-map/
 
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