Game 11: Bills @ Lions *Thanksgiving* Thread

[grandy]

Buffalo Bills (7-3) @ Detroit Lions (4-6)

Line : BUF -9.5
O/U : 54.5

Previews
Pride of Detroit
Yahoo
CBS Sports
ESPN
Buffalo Rumblings


Injury Report

Lions
Out
LG Jonah Jackson (concussion)
RG Evan Brown (ankle)
EDGE Josh Paschal (knee)
EDGE Charles Harris (groin)
CB Jeff Okudah (concussion) ? not expected to play

Questionable
WR Josh Reynolds (back)


Bills
Out
LB Tremaine Edmunds (groin/heel)
DE Greg Rousseau (ankle)

Doubtful
DE AJ Epenesa (ankle)

Questionable
C Mitch Morse (elbow/ankle)


Series History
Link
The Lions are 4-6-1 against the Bills
Last Game: 12/16/2018, Bills 14 Lions 13
Last Game in Detroit: 10/5/2014, Bills 17 Lions 14
Last Win: 10/15/2006, Lions 20 Bills 17
Recent Games: The Bills have won 5 of the last 6 meetings

 

[grandy]

Football Outsiders Stats

Ranks in parentheses. For info on acronyms and definitions, click on the links.

Team Efficiency

Total DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average)
Buffalo 32.2% (1st)
Detroit -1.1% (16th)

Weighted DVOA (DVOA adjusted for recent games)
Buffalo 29.7% (2nd)
Detroit -1.7% (17th)

Offense DVOA
Buffalo 14.2% (6th)
Detroit 7.4% (10th)

Defense DVOA
Buffalo -13.3% (3rd)
Detroit 9.2% (25th)

Special Teams DVOA
Buffalo 4.7% (3rd)
Detroit 0.7% (12th)


Team Offense

Weighted Offense DVOA
Buffalo 14.5% (5th)
Detroit 5.3% (15th)

Pass Offense
Buffalo 31.6% (3rd)
Detroit 16.3% (13th)

Rush Offense
Detroit 5.2% (7th)
Buffalo -4.8% (19th)


Team Defense

Weighted Defense DVOA
Buffalo -10.2% (7th)
Detroit 7.7% (25th)

Pass Defense
Buffalo -8.8% (7th)
Detroit 13.2% (23rd)

Rush Defense
Buffalo -19.6% (4th)
Detroit 3.7% (27th)


Offensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 4.86 (3rd)
Buffalo 4.28 (20th)

Power Success
Buffalo 68% (17th)
Detroit 53% (29th)

Stuffed
Detroit 17% (11th)
Buffalo 22% (31st)

2nd Level Yards
Buffalo 1.39 (6th)
Detroit 1.25 (15th)

Open Field Yards
Buffalo 1.12 (3rd)
Detroit 0.93 (11th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Detroit 3.9% (2nd)
Buffalo 5.6% (7th)


Defensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Buffalo 3.85 (4th)
Detroit 4.54 (21st)

Power Success
Buffalo 52% (1st)
Detroit 64% (11th)

Stuffed
Buffalo 25% (1st)
Detroit 18% (14th)

2nd Level Yards
Buffalo 1.35 (26th)
Detroit 1.40 (28th)

Open Field Yards
Buffalo 0.89 (23rd)
Detroit 1.04 (27th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Buffalo 7.7% (14th)
Detroit 4.9% (29th)


Drive Stats

Net Yards/Drive
Buffalo 8.16 (2nd)
Detroit -5.21 (30th)

Net Points/Drive
Buffalo 0.99 (1st)
Detroit -0.24 (22nd)

Net DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Buffalo 0.045 (5th)
Detroit -0.032 (27th)

Offense Yards/Drive
Buffalo 41.70 (2nd)
Detroit 35.13 (10th)

Offense Points/Drive
Buffalo 2.69 (2nd)
Detroit 2.34 (8th)

Offense DSR
Buffalo 0.769 (2nd)
Detroit 0.746 (7th)

Defense Yards/Drive
Buffalo 33.54 (19th)
Detroit 40.34 (32nd)

Defense Points/Drive
Buffalo 1.70 (9th)
Detroit 2.58 (31st)

Defense DSR
Buffalo 0.724 (20th)
Detroit 0.778 (32nd)

 

[mhughes0021]

People have recovered from a broken leg faster than Charles Harris has recovered from a pulled groin.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

People have recovered from a broken leg faster than Charles Harris has recovered from a pulled groin.

Levi?s back is 2 years running.

My wife had spinal fusion and recovered within a year.

 

[RedRenegade]

Lions, winners of three straight, are 9.5 point UNDERDOGS at home on Thanksgiving.

Not saying we WILL win, but that's pretty harsh. It's like Vegas hasn't watched the last three games.

One thing Vegas DIDNT count on, there could possibly be 66,000 ppl in Ford Field tomorrow, the 2nd largest crowd since the 2011 Monday night game v the Bears.

Its gonna be L-O-U-D!!!

 

[kdp1980]

Lions, winners of three straight, are 9.5 point UNDERDOGS at home on Thanksgiving.

Not saying we WILL win, but that's pretty harsh. It's like Vegas hasn't watched the last three games.

One thing Vegas DIDNT count on, there could possibly be 66,000 ppl in Ford Field tomorrow, the 2nd largest crowd since the 2011 Monday night game v the Bears.

Its gonna be L-O-U-D!!!

I think it could be a close game if we take away Josh Allen?s big runs

 

[biggunsbob]

Happy thanksgiving everyone. Have family over so you know how that is. Take care everyone

Go lions!

 

[Monster]

Go Blue!

WRONG thread? Fuck that. It's the right thread! Wolverines gonna roll on Saturday and Lions gonna shock the fucking world today! Happy Thanksgiving, Fuckers! Go Blue! Go Silver!

 

[Monster]

A lot of red in the crowd.

 

[Monster]

Swift starting wow

 

[Monster]

Terrible series. Fuck

 

[mhughes0021]

Inspiring offense!

 

[Monster]

3 and out!

 

[Monster]

Missed a hold on hutch too

 

[mhughes0021]

Bryant has looked lost on his rushes the last 2 weeks. Beats his guy and then it's like the qb has kryptonite or something.

 

[LKP]

Kalif lucky..james houston off the ps for the recovery

 

[Monster]

Catch teh ball!

 

[Monster]

Chark with a catch? Wow

 

[Monster]

Sun God 1st down!

 

[Monster]

Touchdown! Hell yeah, offense!