Jaylon Smith expected to miss rookie campaign

[kdp1980]

In what round does he become worth the risk? IMO if he fell to our 3rd round compensatory pick, I'd say go for it.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...recheck-lb-jaylon-smith-expected-to-miss-2016

 

[cheeno]

He'll be a seventh round pick or undrafted. Like Ifo ekpre oloumu.

 

[kdp1980]

Think so? I'm thinking he's going to be more along the lines of where Jay Ajayi went last year? Wasn't he 3rd or 4th round? I think its an unfair comparison putting this kid in the Lattimore category. Lattimores injuries were both catastrophic

 

[kdp1980]

Nm, Ajayi went in the 5th.

 

[kdp1980]

He'll be a seventh round pick or undrafted. Like Ifo ekpre oloumu.

If Olomu(5'9) had better size he probably would've went a few rounds earlier IMO.

 

[SoCalLions]

I wouldn't take him unless he falls to the 6th or 7th round. We're not a team with just a few holes. We need as many of our high picks to work out for us as possible. We're not a perennial contender who has the luxury of taking a few risks. I love taking risks, but realistically we're in no position to take a mid to high round pick on a player who may never be able to play the game at a high level any longer.

 

[inkfreq]

Smith was a top 5 pick a few months ago. Now he may fall to the 7th?

I expect his agent to announce he will not sign if he's taken after the 3rd round, and let him re-try the draft the following season, the way La'el Collins did last season when it looked like he could power slide.

 

[cheeno]

Yeah it's a shame. Maybe he'll go in the 6th? Great player and this is totally just my opinion but he'll go late if at all. A redshirt generally spells bad news.

 

[cheeno]

Smith was a top 5 pick a few months ago. Now he may fall to the 7th?

I expect his agent to announce he will not sign if he's taken after the 3rd round, and let him re-try the draft the following season, the way La'el Collins did last season when it looked like he could power slide.

La'el signed as an UDFA with the 'boys and played. Get in the league, put yourself in a good spot and get that clock ticking on your second contract.

 

[inkfreq]

He's too good not to be patient. All projections are that the nerve will heal and he will be 100%. If he's there, use one of our 5th rounders and grab him.

 

[SoCalLions]

I think he goes in the 3rd-4th round. Someone with good depth who can afford to have him sit out for a year will take him. Too much upside if he can come back from this injury. A team with a GM who has good job security will grab him.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

He's too good not to be patient. All projections are that the nerve will heal and he will be 100%. If he's there, use one of our 5th rounders and grab him.

I'd cream myself. Seriously.....a top 5 talent in the 5th round???

At that point......if he never plays a snap its no different than 1/3 of all 5th rounders who never play more than a handful of games as a special teamer and then are out of the league in a year or two.

You IR him so he doesn't take up a roster spot and let him heal.

 

[Mitchrapp]

I wouldn't want to waste a 5th on someone who won't play for a year. By the time he does play in a real game he be over a year in half from college until 2017, September.

As SoCal said, we're not a team who can afford to wait that long. Too many holes. And there's not reason to think he'll play at all.

 

[kdp1980]

A fifth rounder though, Mitch? That's a guy that is a special teamed, or a guy that is going to get stashed on the IR or the practice squad anyway. Drafting this kid in the 5th would be a great value pick IMO.

 

[mhughes0021]

I think he goes in the 3rd. Top 2 talent in this draft. I'd take him with our comp 3rd pick. There were concerns he'd never play. Do your due diligence to make sure that's not the case and i have no issues taking him.

 

[mhughes0021]

I wouldn't want to waste a 5th on someone who won't play for a year. By the time he does play in a real game he be over a year in half from college until 2017, September.

As SoCal said, we're not a team who can afford to wait that long. Too many holes. And there's not reason to think he'll play at all.

Our 5th rounders never play. ...ever.

 

[Mitchrapp]

A fifth rounder though, Mitch? That's a guy that is a special teamed, or a guy that is going to get stashed on the IR or the practice squad anyway. Drafting this kid in the 5th would be a great value pick IMO.

Not all 5th round picks are junk. How many guys mess up their knee like that, sits out a year and plays well afterward. This, imo, is not a risk-reward that I'd take.

 

[kdp1980]

Not all 5th round picks are junk. How many guys mess up their knee like that, sits out a year and plays well afterward. This, imo, is not a risk-reward that I'd take.

A fifth round pick is not a risk, its a hit or miss pick. No harm, no foul. I wonder what the success rate is for 5th round picks is.

 

[kdp1980]

Article on percentages of draft busts by round. Final Paragraph mentions Chris Greenwood formally of the Lions,lol. Who was it Lkp compared him to?
http://datascopeanalytics.com/blog/the-chance-of-a-bust-in-the-nfl-draft/

 

[Mitchrapp]

A fifth round pick is not a risk, its a hit or miss pick. No harm, no foul. I wonder what the success rate is for 5th round picks is.

Probably better than a knee injury who misses a year.