Lions NFC North Scenarios

[grandy]

Now with 2 weeks to go, here are all the possible scenarios

Lions win week 16
- Lions win week 17: Lions win NFC North
- Lions tie week 17: Lions win NFC North
- Lions lose week 17: GB wins NFC North unless they lost week 16

Lions tie week 16
- Lions win week 17: Lions win NFC North
- Lions tie week 17: Lions win NFC North unless GB won week 16
- Lions lose week 17: GB wins NFC North

Lions lose week 16
- Lions win week 17: Lions win NFC North
- Lions tie week 17: GB wins NFC North unless they lost week 16
- Lions lose week 17: GB wins NFC North

 

[coel73]

They better handle business and treat every game like it's the last one, cause the way they play under pressure they're gonna drop that GB game.

 

[brewer229]

I think if the packers win week 17 they win NFC north regardless.

Even if packers lose week 16 and Lions win week 16. If Packers win week 17 we would both finish 11-5, Green Bay wins tie breaker.

 

[LKP]

Bucs beat packers. We beat bears. Lions win north. But I will gladly enjoy lions winning division week 17 too

 

[LKP]

I think if the packers win week 17 they win NFC north regardless.

Even if packers lose week 16 and Lions win week 16. If Packers win week 17 we would both finish 11-5, Green Bay wins tie breaker.

Green bay loses tie breaker. Both 5-1 division with split. Common games same. Goes to conference record and lions win that if gb loses to bucs

 

[grandy]

Green bay loses tie breaker. Both 5-1 division with split. Common games same. Goes to conference record and lions win that if gb loses to bucs

This

https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario?algorithm=custom&14=40500045&15=45141055&16=10154051

 

[brewer229]

Yep. I for some reason forgot to factor in the Bills game today. Didn't count that as a common game.

 

[inkfreq]

We both lost to the Bucs.

Lions lost to Carolina, but Green Bay beat Carolina.

Green Bay lost to the Saints, but the Lions beat the Saints.

Lions beat Green Bay head to head, but it's a pretty safe bet the record will be 1-1 after week 17.

I have no idea where we sit on tie breakers, because I've lost count that far down.

 

[elrod817]

Am I correct in my thinking...a win next week clinches a playoff berth?

 

[manchild98]

Am I correct in my thinking...a win next week clinches a playoff berth?

I think if Philly beats Dallas, it will. But right now Dallas is up 14-0 on Philly.

EDIT: You are right 11-5 will make the playoff because we didn't play Philly or Dallas head to head and we would have a better conference record than either team if we win next week.

 

[manchild98]

We both lost to the Bucs.

Lions lost to Carolina, but Green Bay beat Carolina.

Green Bay lost to the Saints, but the Lions beat the Saints.

Lions beat Green Bay head to head, but it's a pretty safe bet the record will be 1-1 after week 17.

I have no idea where we sit on tie breakers, because I've lost count that far down.

If we both win next week then GB owns the deciding tie breaker going into the final week. We have to win out to win the division. Tie breaker #3 is common games. They beat NE and we lost...that's the deciding game.


TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION

If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

Two Clubs
1.Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2.Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3.Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4.Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5.Strength of victory.
6.Strength of schedule.

 

[grandy]

Am I correct in my thinking...a win next week clinches a playoff berth?

Between Arizona, Seattle, Philadelphia, and Dallas, I can't find a scenario that Detroit doesn't make it.

Detroit will have both Dallas and Philly beat in conference record

 

[inkfreq]

If we both win next week then GB owns the deciding tie breaker going into the final week. We have to win out to win the division. Tie breaker #3 is common games. They beat NE and we lost...that's the deciding game.


TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION

If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

Two Clubs
1.Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2.Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3.Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4.Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5.Strength of victory.
6.Strength of schedule.

Damn, it was New England I was missing in there. I knew something wasn't adding up right.

Thanks Manchild, you are right, we have to win out ot win the division.

 

[LKP]

As long as not a tie in Dallas philly.

 

[elrod817]

We don't have to win out to win the division, we just have to win in Green Bay. We lose next week we're 10-5 and Green Bay wins they jump to 11-4, but if we win in Lambeau we finish with identical records overall, but we hold the season series at 2-0.

 

[manchild98]

We don't have to win out to win the division, we just have to win in Green Bay. We lose next week we're 10-5 and Green Bay wins they jump to 11-4, but if we win in Lambeau we finish with identical records overall, but we hold the season series at 2-0.

Yup. A win next week means a playoff berth (as long as Philly/Dallas isn't a tie tonight). A win against GB means we win the division and get either a bye week and/or a home playoff game.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

Early weather forecast next week in Chicago....

Mostly sunny. 35 degrees.

Not bad.

 

[elrod817]

Early weather forecast next week in Chicago....

Mostly sunny. 35 degrees.

Not bad.

I'm forecasting PAIN!

 

[biggunsbob]

I thought we beat the Bucs?

 

[UMRules06]

I thought we beat the Bucs?

Think they meant the Bills.