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NFL Prediction Machine - Lions

grandy

Senior Member
Joined
Aug 4, 2011
Messages
11,678
http://predictionmachine.com/2014-NFL-super-bowl-odds-picks-preview

Detroit Lions
Power Rank: 17
Offensive Rank: 9
Defensive Rank: 19
Division Standing: 2
2013 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2014 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Playoff Probabilities: 33.3%
Super Bowl Win%: 0.5%
Biggest Strength: Explosive Offense
Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Golden Tate
Most Important Defensive Player: Ziggy Ansah
Fantasy Stud: Calvin Johnson
Fantasy Dud: Brandon Pettigrew
Fantasy Sleeper: Theo Riddick

http://www.prideofdetroit.com/2014/8/11/5991439/game-by-game-predictions-lions-2014-season

Game-by-Game (average score based on 50,000 simulations)
8-8 Record
Week 1 - vs. New York Giants - LOSS (25.0-23.8)
Week 2 - at Carolina Panthers - LOSS (23.3-20.7)
Week 3 - vs. Green Bay Packers - LOSS (32.0-30.7)
Week 4 - at New York Jets - WIN (27.2-21.8)
Week 5 - vs. Buffalo Bills - WIN (28.9-20.5)
Week 6 - at Minnesota Vikings - WIN (29.5-28.6)
Week 7 - vs. New Orleans Saints - LOSS (30.3-22.8)
Week 8 - at Atlanta Falcons - LOSS (30.8-29.3)
Week 10 - vs. Miami Dolphins - WIN (28.1-22.4)
Week 11 - at Arizona Cardinals - LOSS (26.6-21.8)
Week 12 - at New England Patriots - LOSS (31.6-24.4)
Week 13 - vs. Chicago Bears - WIN (32.0-27.6)
Week 14 - vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - WIN (27.4-23.7)
Week 15 - vs. Minnesota Vikings - WIN (31.2-26.6)
Week 16 - at Chicago Bears - WIN (29.9-29.2)
Week 17 - at Green Bay Packers - LOSS (33.4-28.6)
 
I got us beating ari, nyg and atl and dropping a chi game. 10-6. Can easily be 6-10 with a couple concentrated injuries or a couple high barometric pressure Sundays.
 
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Can't really argue with that. I would flip the Giants to a Win, and the Jets to a loss (Lions would suck on the road if they played at Catholic Central)
 
11-5
3 more wins than predicted and 5 true wins but end up as losses.
 
Switch the NY teams around. Plus I don't see 2 wins against both Chicago and Minnesota.
 
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11 wins, 5 moral victories and 4 post season victories. One parade.
 
Eric Ebron sneezes while dropping a crucial 3rd down catch on a playoff deciding drive in week 17. Fluke I tell ya.
 
The funny thing is LKP, no one here is going to eat crow if they do the stuff you predict them to. We are all fans, and we want them to succeed. But we are realistic. Anything beyond that is gravy, and will make us happy. You won't look like any more of a genius if the team actually goes 11-5.
 
The funny thing is LKP, no one here is going to eat crow if they do the stuff you predict them to. We are all fans, and we want them to succeed. But we are realistic. Anything beyond that is gravy, and will make us happy. You won't look like any more of a genius if the team actually goes 11-5.

I'm already a genius. 11 wins or 11 true wins. All genius.
 
Here's what happens when other people make accurate predictions.

Nobody got anything right. Nobody knew shit. Lions failed that's it. If you expected that and now bragging about it. Well then fuck you for being a terrible fan. I wish I could fire some fans.

No it means you had a lucky guess and in no way should you gloat over that.

Nope. I would have been happy they won and that is it. People being happy they went 7-9 just because they "called it" is stupid. The only reason hughes posts is to tell people the Lions suck. Not an actual Lions fan.

Every single one of those predictions is just some random gut feeling based on the schedule at the time. So many things happened that we didn't know would happen causing the 7-9, not someone's gut feeling for future events.
 
Speaking to LKP's 3rd post, no one is happy they went 7-9. We just weren't surprised.
 
Mine aren't random gut feelings. Mine are truth nukes.
 
*7-9

*really 11 wins in 2013. Screwed by injuries and refs.
 
Here's what happens when other people make accurate predictions.

And you got those quotes pretty quicky. That's freaky stalker stuff right there.

11 wins is the true prediction. If it happens, crow will be eaten. If it doesn't there will be a loophole I'm sure.
 
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