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tycobb420
Well-known member
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- Aug 5, 2011
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Dems keep Senate 51-49 (GOP blew it in a couple of races)
GOP keeps House
Romney wins
1. He leads among independents
2. GOP base is more energized
3. Dem early voting is down and GOP generally has better election day turnout
4. Late deciders generally gravitate toward challenger
5. GOP generally underperforms in polls which is important in a close election
6. Most history is against Obama
Of course, I could be wrong and reserve the right to be wrong.
GOP keeps House
Romney wins
1. He leads among independents
2. GOP base is more energized
3. Dem early voting is down and GOP generally has better election day turnout
4. Late deciders generally gravitate toward challenger
5. GOP generally underperforms in polls which is important in a close election
6. Most history is against Obama
Of course, I could be wrong and reserve the right to be wrong.