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So the Polls were

TheVictors

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 26, 2011
Messages
14,206
....accurate all this time.


So much for the fictitious voter population out there that was going to show up strong for Romney. The polls were dead on in virtually every single Battleground state.


well how about that!?
 
So where's that damn Birth Certificate, anyways!?
 
So where's that damn Birth Certificate, anyways!?

or college transcripts.

things have changed. grades were not important in '00 or '04. In fact, back then, they were anathema to what we looked for in a leader. We needed a "big picture" guy, who didn't get bogged down in planning, and who went out and accomplished things:

220px-Bush_mission_accomplished.jpg

 
Ever since I started paying attention to presidential politics, I've usually had a pretty good idea who would win based on the accuracy of the pre-election polling, except for 2000 and 2004 - when the polls were indicating that it was too call.

I guess in 1980, the magnitude of what the Reagan victory wasn't measured in the polls; but it seems there had been a dramatic and unusual shift to favoring Reagan within the last few days before the election.

In a Playboy interview with Pat Cadell, Cadell stated that the Carter campaign's internal polling had reflected the shift, and their final internal poll was pretty much along line with the outcome of the election.
 
I fell out of my chair when Bret Baier asserted that Dems thought AZ was a "toss up" earlier in the election campaigns and acted as if it was some victory for Romney.

AZ was never "in play" and the Pres candidates didn't bother spending money on TV ads there ...only the local candidates and Rove PAC ads ran.

I'm pretty sure the Polling showed Romney was going to win AZ with ease.
 
Nate Silver was insanely accurate. His predictions 332-206 EVs and 2.5% in the pop vote.

The results 332-206 and 2.3%.

Rasmussen and Gallup shit the bed. PPP Poll was #1 for poll accuracy. Intrade called 49 of 50 states right and the winner.
 
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