Spartanmack

[Spartan23MSU]

Paige is killing us

 

[Spartan23MSU]

Unc plays putrid against weaker teams not in the big 10 then lashes out when they play a better team in the big 10 every year. Cant miss

 

[Spartanmack]

I fell asleep before halftime woke up a few times to see they were dn 6 at hlf then dn 11 then took 1/pt lead. then saw final score.

game got off to slow start. MD had 2 scoring droughts of ~3 mins in the first 10 mins or so of the game.the under looked like a great bet. then it was like 5 pts a min for rest of the half

 

[Spartan23MSU]

Im not a big fan of wagering college hoops but MSU-5.5 and OK state -2.5

 

[Spartanmack]

yeah, i'm still on house money so I'll play a little. I'm goign to take MSU as well. I like top teams as heavy favorites - as long as it's before the holiday break when students aren't on campus. will let you know if I find anything else interesting. I like Ok State as well but still smarting from betting on Marcus Smart his last year - man did they under perform.

Edit - thinking maybe SMU or maybe Syracuse - but that's a tough one, I despise syracuse and wisconsin almost equally and would hate to have to pull for one. maybe take syracuse for the 1st half

 

[Spartan23MSU]

yeah, i'm still on house money so I'll play a little. I'm goign to take MSU as well. I like top teams as heavy favorites - as long as it's before the holiday break when students aren't on campus. will let you know if I find anything else interesting. I like Ok State as well but still smarting from betting on Marcus Smart his last year - man did they under perform.

Im still on house $ also. Payouts are on Tuesday. For previous years I used Bookmaker.eu or Sportsbook.ag. now using a local book. The only thing is anything over a 4 teamer pays really weak. the rest of the house $ is going on MSU -3.5 in foots and one other game (yet to be determined)

I kid you not on 1 occasion it took 3 months to get my $ from sportsbook and 4 months on another:lmao: that defeats the purpose of even wagering. Bookmaker used to give 1 free payout a month via western union now those hacks take 10% of your winnings. OK so 10% juice and 10% payout when you want to cash out? good riddance.

 

[Spartanmack]

had the e craziest luck this week. got up small on CBB then hit 5 and 3 teamer on NFL y'day with crazy luck on 2 of the games.

now trying to figure out how much of it to put on MSU to win NC in FB.

 

[Spartan23MSU]

had the e craziest luck this week. got up small on CBB then hit 5 and 3 teamer on NFL y'day with crazy luck on 2 of the games.

now trying to figure out how much of it to put on MSU to win NC in FB.

I came positive a chintsy $300 yesterday but fucking panthers -4 cost me a 4 teamer up 35-7 at the end of the 3rd! $50 paid $800 because i had some mls in there. Lol that has to be a 1/200 shot to win at that point of the game

 

[Spartan23MSU]

I have a 2 teamer going now need saints -2.5 and it hits. I hate this game s total coin toss. Saints have screwed me playing with and againt them 3 times already this year. If i get lucky payday is tomortow and ill be up $1300 this pay period. You should fade me with the lions. Not kidding

 

[Spartanmack]

i have no view so I'm leaving tonight alone. hit big y'day with crazy stupid luck on 2 games (11.2 after hedging) so not gonna bother with anything tonight.

heads up if you're thinking of taking a flyer on Spartans to win CFB NC. we will be dogs all the way thru (don't c us being betr than even money if we get to NC game) so don't bet us to win NC. instead bet moneyline then roll that risk and profit into ML on title game. with us to win NC at +550 and MlL on bama game at +300, as long as NC is even money you will get a betr payout making separate bets. if we r money line dogs in NC u can even take money off the table and still gat as good or betr payout.

 

[Spartan23MSU]

i have no view so I'm leaving tonight alone. hit big y'day with crazy stupid luck on 2 games (11.2 after hedging) so not gonna bother with anything tonight.

heads up if you're thinking of taking a flyer on Spartans to win CFB NC. we will be dogs all the way thru (don't c us being betr than even money if we get to NC game) so don't bet us to win NC. instead bet moneyline then roll that risk and profit into ML on title game. with us to win NC at +550 and MlL on bama game at +300, as long as NC is even money you will get a betr payout making separate bets. if we r money line dogs in NC u can even take money off the table and still gat as good or betr payout.

Im taking msu ml. Was +305 last with my book. Wouldnt the NC game have to be At +250 msu to be the same $ as taking the future now?

 

[Spartanmack]

Im taking msu ml. Was +305 last with my book. Wouldnt the NC game have to be At +250 msu to be the same $ as taking the future now?

right now I see us +550 to win NC so 100 pays 550. if you bet 100 to win semi-final at +300 u win 300 then bet that profit + original 100 (400 total) at even money on the final. if that hits u get paid 400 on final plus the 300 on semi final for total of 700 profit. if u take ur original risk off the table and just bet semi-final profits on NC game u still do betr with 600 in total profit. any juice u get from a better than even money payout on final makes the separate bet strategy even betr. assuming +250 for final the strategy pays 1.3k vs 550 on 1 bet for both games. i doubt we'd be +250 dogs after beating bama bit I don't see us being an lower than even money if we make the final.

if the semi-final payout is 50% of single bet and the NC is even money you will do better.

Edit - obviously, your per game maximum bet factors into the decision - i.e. in this scenario, if you have a 200 limit per game, you can't take enough risk on game 2 to make it work.

 

[Spartanmack]

was about to give up on basketball altogether - was taking up too much time and not going anywhere. but I decided to try a new strategy and just had my best week in awhile - risked 500 and turned it into 14k and that was a 1 close loss in a couple diff parlays away from being almost 40 - easily could have been 25. I've only been doing it for a week and I hit early so was never "playing from behind" all week but I think it's way better than what I was doing before.

 

[Spartan23MSU]

was about to give up on basketball altogether - was taking up too much time and not going anywhere. but I decided to try a new strategy and just had my best week in awhile - risked 500 and turned it into 14k and that was a 1 close loss in a couple diff parlays away from being almost 40 - easily could have been 25. I've only been doing it for a week and I hit early so was never "playing from behind" all week but I think it's way better than what I was doing before.

Godspeed. After 8 years going on and off im done for awhile. it comes down to 1 thing. My miracle loss to miracle comeback ratio is way off. It just so happens the miracle comeback to loss ratio is 10 times higher. I dont know how its possible but after the panthers being up 32-7 at the end of the 3rd quarter and being -5 (99.5% chance of cover) like week 12 I think and blowing it I started to call it quits. that cost a me a 4 team parlay and his isnt isolated. This type of shit happens all the time to me, especially in baseball. After the MSU bama game and the whole bowl season as a matter of fact, I stopped.

With baseball Ive been totally fucked in the 9th inning to lose maybe 30-40 times in 6 years. How many times did my team come back in the 9th to win in that stretch maybe 3-4??? How is it possible??? Ill wager now and then if I go to a game, go to vegas etc but my weekly wagering is on hold and im totally fine with it. I miss the rush youre talking about I just cant handle grossly disproportionate miracle comeback losses anymore. Good work on your run though, thats the type of run that is pure crack.

 

[Spartanmack]

Godspeed. After 8 years going on and off im done for awhile. it comes down to 1 thing. I figure that I have a miracle comeback win maybe 1 time where I have miracle comeback loss 5 times more. I dont know how its possible but after the panthers being up 32-7 at the end of the 3rd quarter and being -5 (99.5% chance of cover) like week 12 I think and blowing it I called it quits. that cost a me a 4 team parlay and his isnt isolated. This type of shit happens all the time to me, especially in baseball.

Ive been totally fucked in the 9th inning to lose maybe 30-40 times in 6 years. How many times did my team come back in the 9th to win in that stretch maybe 3-4??? How is it possible??? Ill wager now and then if I go to a game, go to vegas etc but my weekly wagering is on hold and im totally fine with it. I miss the rush youre talking about I just cant handle grossly disproportionate miracle comeback losses anymore. Good work on your run though, thats the type of run that is pure crack.

I totally get it - 2 weeks ago I got killed on 2 parlays by meaningless last second three pointers. This week I had Golden State -9, they were up 16 with 2 minutes left and won by 3 - I hedged at half time but breaking even sucks when you think a big payout is in the bag. I'm seriously considering doing the same until football comes back. You can be up til midnight every night of the week with basketball. I will leave some cash in the book because I'll definitely do something during the tournament but after that, until football comes back around I'll only watch hockey and golf majors which I never bet on.

 

[Spartan23MSU]

I totally get it - 2 weeks ago I got killed on 2 parlays by meaningless last second three pointers. This week I had Golden State -9, they were up 16 with 2 minutes left and won by 3 - I hedged at half time but breaking even sucks when you think a big payout is in the bag. I'm seriously considering doing the same until football comes back. You can be up til midnight every night of the week with basketball. I will leave some cash in the book because I'll definitely do something during the tournament but after that, until football comes back around I'll only watch hockey and golf majors which I never bet on.

baseball is a no no. I had 3 days in a row I lost a parlay in the 9th inning and 2 games were 2 strike 2 out HR's :lmao: the year before last.

It feels good to take a break. Have fun with the house $ though:cheers: