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Michchamp
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Saturday, November 9, 2024 @ 3:30 PM ET in Bloomington, Indiana, unranked Michigan faces #8 Indiana on CBS.
Line: UM +14 o/u: 49.5
Sagarin Predictor: 12 pt IU win
Who would've thought we'd be at this point in the season and the standings would be what they are? 5-4 vs. 9-0 and Indiana is the undefeated team. SHIT. I guess this underscores how important good coaching is vs. talent; good coaching can overcome a lot, although to be fair, IU has played a pretty damn soft schedule so far (Sagarin ranks it 81st). They just keep winning easily though, so we STILL don't know how good they are, and maybe won't even after Saturday, since we're sandbagged by BAD coaching, and can't present much of a challenge to quality opponents. On 11/23 they visit Columbus, a week before we do and that may be their first real test against top competition.
FUCK. FUUUUUCK I HATE THIS!
For background on IU, see this thread from happier times (last year), our score prediction thread . This is now the 73rd all time meeting between the schools; UM holds a 62-10 all time record, and - other than the "Plague Season" in 2020, hadn't lost a game to IU going back to 1987, and was something like 27-1 against them over that span, 27-2 if you count 2020. For a long time, and through maybe September of this year, that looked to be the unchanging status quo.
how things have changed.
It's a fuckin' lovely war.
IU Football this season:
I posted a thread on Curt Cignetti, their (somewhat cocky coach), that also covered roster changes for them.
Their best win so far this season is either 5-4 Washington or 5-4 Nebraska, both in Bloomington; every other opponent is either a mid major, or has a losing record. Their 47-10 pasting of MSU in East Lansing was pretty impressive, easily their best road win, but MSU had just lost their Super Bowl in Ann Arbor the week before (and behaved like hysterical women again), so maybe they weren't "at their best" during that "time of the month" for them...
IU played nobody notable OOC. They truly have played a soft schedule, and - if we had competent coaching - I could be excited for this one as delivering a potential WAKE UP call to IU. But we don't have competent coaching.
STATS WATCH!
..................................................UM...................IU.
Total D..................47th (345ypg).......3rd (261ypg)
PED.........................................61st.............20th
Rush D.......................23rd (109ypg)....1st (72 ypg)
Total O....................... 127th (299ypg)..8th (476ypg)
PEO....................................... 121st...............3rd
Rush O................... 62nd (165ypg)......30th (191ypg)
Turnovers..................... 102nd (-.56).....10th (+1.1)
Penalties .......................10th (4.4/g).....24th (4.8/g)
Ugly.
Ah well. Soldier on... after this, we get a bye week to get healthy before our last easy opponent of the season (Northwestern) and then the ominous drive south to Columbus to potentially end the season.
So go ahead and make your picks, and post some analysis if you so choose, but as always, leave the woofing and barking for other threads!
Line: UM +14 o/u: 49.5
Sagarin Predictor: 12 pt IU win
Who would've thought we'd be at this point in the season and the standings would be what they are? 5-4 vs. 9-0 and Indiana is the undefeated team. SHIT. I guess this underscores how important good coaching is vs. talent; good coaching can overcome a lot, although to be fair, IU has played a pretty damn soft schedule so far (Sagarin ranks it 81st). They just keep winning easily though, so we STILL don't know how good they are, and maybe won't even after Saturday, since we're sandbagged by BAD coaching, and can't present much of a challenge to quality opponents. On 11/23 they visit Columbus, a week before we do and that may be their first real test against top competition.
FUCK. FUUUUUCK I HATE THIS!
For background on IU, see this thread from happier times (last year), our score prediction thread . This is now the 73rd all time meeting between the schools; UM holds a 62-10 all time record, and - other than the "Plague Season" in 2020, hadn't lost a game to IU going back to 1987, and was something like 27-1 against them over that span, 27-2 if you count 2020. For a long time, and through maybe September of this year, that looked to be the unchanging status quo.
how things have changed.
It's a fuckin' lovely war.
IU Football this season:
I posted a thread on Curt Cignetti, their (somewhat cocky coach), that also covered roster changes for them.
Their best win so far this season is either 5-4 Washington or 5-4 Nebraska, both in Bloomington; every other opponent is either a mid major, or has a losing record. Their 47-10 pasting of MSU in East Lansing was pretty impressive, easily their best road win, but MSU had just lost their Super Bowl in Ann Arbor the week before (and behaved like hysterical women again), so maybe they weren't "at their best" during that "time of the month" for them...
IU played nobody notable OOC. They truly have played a soft schedule, and - if we had competent coaching - I could be excited for this one as delivering a potential WAKE UP call to IU. But we don't have competent coaching.
STATS WATCH!
..................................................UM...................IU.
Total D..................47th (345ypg).......3rd (261ypg)
PED.........................................61st.............20th
Rush D.......................23rd (109ypg)....1st (72 ypg)
Total O....................... 127th (299ypg)..8th (476ypg)
PEO....................................... 121st...............3rd
Rush O................... 62nd (165ypg)......30th (191ypg)
Turnovers..................... 102nd (-.56).....10th (+1.1)
Penalties .......................10th (4.4/g).....24th (4.8/g)
Ugly. Ah well. Soldier on... after this, we get a bye week to get healthy before our last easy opponent of the season (Northwestern) and then the ominous drive south to Columbus to potentially end the season.
So go ahead and make your picks, and post some analysis if you so choose, but as always, leave the woofing and barking for other threads!
