2012 Electoral College Thread

[tsmith7559]

Rasmussen:

Romney 48-45 NH
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...mpshire/election_2012_new_hampshire_president

 

[grandy]

Added

 

[grandy]

Latest poll from Marquette university has Obama up +14 in Wisconsin

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/MLSP11_Toplines.pdf

R 26%
D 34%
I 38%

Seems fairly biased, especially since the exit polls for the recall election in June was quite different (R 35%, D 34%, I 31%)

 

[grandy]

A few FOX news polls came out tonight

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/int...ored-over-romney-among-likely-voters-in-ohio/
Obama +7 in Ohio

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/int...e-over-romney-among-likely-voters-in-florida/
Obama +5 in Florida

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/int...y-voters-in-virginia-favor-obama-over-romney/
Obama +7 in Virginia

 

[grandy]

A few more polls between yesterday and today

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/09/19/topgenstate3mi.pdf
CNN/Opinion Research poll has Obama up 8 in Michigan

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/09/20/falling/
WeAskAmerica poll with Obama up 3 in Florida and +6 in Pennsylvania

 

[Thumb]

 

[Thumb]

Romney behind in FLA and OHIO.

The fat lady, she's getting ready to sing.

 

[Michchamp]

Romney: "Wait, I changed my mind. I care about everyone, even if they are poor. Please consider voting for me."

 

[grandy]

Finally some updates for Nevada and Iowa

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...al_election/iowa/election_2012_iowa_president
Romney up 3 in Iowa

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...lection/nevada/election_2012_nevada_president
Obama up 2 in Nevada

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/09/20/topgenstate3nv.pdf
Obama up 3 in Nevada

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/...ed-by-women-voters-Obama-widens-lead-Michigan
Obama up 14 in Michigan

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...n/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_president
Obama up 3 in Wisconsin

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_92012.pdf
Obama up 7 in Wisconsin

 

[grandy]

A few more polls between yesterday and today

WSJ/NBC/Marist came out with 3 new polls

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC_Colorado.pdf
Obama up 5 in Colorado

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC_Iowa.pdf
Obama up 8 in Iowa

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC_Wisconsin.pdf
Obama up 5 in Wisconsin

http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/17memoa.pdf
High Point has Obama up 4 in North Carolina

I'm moving North Carolina to toss up for now, but I wouldn't look too much into this NC poll....it's a registered voter poll and I don't see a party identification listed anywhere

 

[grandy]

Rasmussen out with a new Pennsylvania poll, Obama up 12
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...sylvania/election_2012_pennsylvania_president

Purple Strategies came out with a massive poll today, covers 6 states
http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll-9.21.12.pdf
Ohio: Obama +4
Florida: Romney +1
Virginia: Obama +3
Colorado: Obama +3
Arizona: Romney +3
North Carolina: Obama +2

 

[Michchamp]

...

Purple Strategies came out with a massive poll today, covers 6 states
http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll-9.21.12.pdf
Ohio: Obama +4
Florida: Romney +1
Virginia: Obama +3
Colorado: Obama +3
Arizona: Romney +3
North Carolina: Obama +2

if that holds, that's an easy obama win.

 

[@Stakesarehigh]

I'm thinking unless something crazy happens Obama takes this one down...it's funny that some folks are delusional at this..I even talked to a guy at the bar the other day who claimed Romney had the election won based on projection's by karl rove. I could see not calling it yet but I can't think how someone would look at the polls and feel like romney is safe.

 

[grandy]

Two new polls out today

http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20120923/NEWS010601/309230026&Ref=AR
Obama +5 in Ohio

http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/09/22/3016362/obama-48-romney-47-in-hard-fought.html
Obama +1 in Florida

 

[grandy]

More Polls out between yesterday and today

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_923.pdf
Obama +4 in Florida

http://triblive.com/home/2641005-74...ylvania-leads-lee-margin-points#axzz27M5sTCxF
Obama +2 in Pennsylvania (site won't load for me currently)

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/170917611.html?refer=y
Obama +8 in Minnesota

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/09/24/big-cheese/
Obama +12 in Wisconsin

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ion/michigan/election_2012_michigan_president
Obama +12 in Michigan

http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/civitas-poll-obama-biden-lead-gop-ticket/
Obama +4 in NC

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_9231.pdf
Obama +6 in Colorado

 

[Michchamp]

...

the obama camp is confident they'll land North Carolina again too.

North Carolina: not a chance in Hell Obama wins this state, he is already pulling ads

come again?

 

[Thumb]

Funny how Romney got 0 bounce from releasing his tax returns as damage control for his mouth.

I saw last night on the news that Obama is leading every single battleground state by +2 points with just a little over a month to go, which effectively predicts it will be a landslide.

 

[tsmith7559]

come again?

anytime you want to bet...let me know

 

[oletoes]

Funny how Romney got 0 bounce from releasing his tax returns as damage control for his mouth.

I saw last night on the news that Obama is leading every single battleground state by +2 points with just a little over a month to go, which effectively predicts it will be a landslide.

Which "news" did you see this on?

 

[byco42]

Funny how Romney got 0 bounce from releasing his tax returns as damage control for his mouth.

I saw last night on the news that Obama is leading every single battleground state by +2 points with just a little over a month to go, which effectively predicts it will be a landslide.

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/index.cfm

Could be nothing.