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Detroit Tigers Team Notes Over 3 Million Views!!! Thankyou!

June 24 in Tigers and mlb history:

1936 - Rookie Joe DiMaggio ties three major-league records in New York's 10-run 5th inning against the White Sox, hitting 2 home runs for 8 total bases. With 2 doubles, he equals the modern record of four long hits in a game. New York beats St. Louis, 18 - 4.

1950: Art Houtteman pitches Detroit to a 4 - 1 win over the Yankees. Yogi Berra's homer is the only Yankee score, as New York loses its 4th straight and 8th in 12 games. Detroit now leads the American League by three games.

1955 - In an 18 - 7 loss to the Tigers, Senator 18-year old rookie third baseman Harmon Killebrew hits his first major league home run off Billy Hoeft.

1960 - Willie Mays hits two home runs, singles, steals home, and makes 10 putouts to lead the Giants in a 5 - 3 win at Cincinnati. Mays has three RBI and three runs scored.

1962: A marathon between the Tigers and Yankees concludes in the 22nd inning when Jack Reed's home run - his only one in the big leagues - gives New York and Jim Bouton a 9 - 7 victory. Reed replaced Joe Pepitone in the 13th. For the Tigers, Phil Regan takes the loss and Rocky Colavito has seven hits. Bobby Richardson ties a mark by going to the plate 11 times. At an even seven hours, the game is the slowest extra-inning contest in league history and it is the longest game in innings in Yankee history.

1968 - Detroit RF Jim Northrup becomes the 6th American League player to hit two grand slams in one game, connecting in the 5th inning off Eddie Fisher and in the 6th off Billy Rohr, as the Tigers bomb Cleveland, 14 - 3. Denny McLain is the victor. First baseman Willie Smith pitches the last three innings, walking just one and allowing one hit and no runs. Detroit's Don Wert is taken to the hospital following a 6th inning beaning which shatters his batting helmet. He will miss just a few games.

1984: After missing two starts, Jack Morris (12-3) stops the Brewers, 7 - 1. Ruppert Jones and Lance Parrish hit homers for the Tigers, who have drawn 165,000 fans for the 4-game series with Milwaukee. Detroit now leads the AL East by 8 1/2 games.

1998: The Indians trade OF Geronimo Berroa to the Tigers for P Tim Worrell and minor league OF Dave Roberts.

2000: The Tigers trim the Indians 14 - 8, in the second game of a day-night doubleheader behind OF Bobby Higginson's three home runs and six RBIs. The Indians take the first game.

Tigers players birthdays:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/harpege02.shtml
George Harper 1916-1918.

from baseball reference
 
New Metric? by Patrick Davitt
During my interview with the fine sportswriter Michael Salfino on the most recent edition of BaseballHQ Radio, he happened to mention that he pays close attention to relievers? ISO-against stats.
His reasoning was that to score on a pitcher who is stingy with extra-base hits, his opponents must string together three positive events?singles, walks, steals. By contrast, pitchers who give up Extra-Base Hits (XBH) can be scored on more easily: A double followed by a single will do the job in most cases.
This got me thinking. If it is positive for relievers to avoid XBH, the same might also apply to all pitchers. XBH avoidance might be a useful validator, maybe even a predictor, of pitcher performance. At first, it looked like I was onto something. Later, though, it turned out to be fool?s gold.
I started at baseball-reference.com, and got the stats for all 429 pitchers who had least 20 IP last season. Then I calculated how many Total Bases (TB), Extra Bases (XB) and XBHs each pitcher gave up in three different ratios:
Per ball in play;
Per nine innings; and
Per batter faced
For the purpose of this study, the BIP totals are made up by subtracting Ks, walks and HBPs from Total Batter Faced. So it includes HRs (which are not included in other BIP ratios, like BABIP).
Then I would correlate each combination against ERA, and compare it with the BaseballHQ skills metrics of Dom (K/9), Cmd (K/bb), which are around 35%, which is quite useful.
I was most interested in the BIP ratios, because they take strikeouts out of the calculation. Obviously we want to target high-strikeout pitchers, because there?s nothing better for the ol? ERA than a whiff or 14. So the idea was to see if we could find the desirable arms when we?re looking at that next tier of pitchers.
Here?s what I found?
All the ERA correlations with the Total Base ratios were at last twice as strong as the HQ skills metrics. Even the lowest ERA correlation?XB/BIP? was 58%, 23 points better than the skill-alone metrics.
The best correlation was between TB/9 and ERA, a remarkable 88%. But that measure includes strikeouts (innings are made up of all outs), and not far behind was the TB/BIP ratio, at 75%, which is all the more remarkable in that it is a measure of ERA expectation that explicitly excludes strikeouts.
As if to accent the point, five of the top-10 TB/BIP guys were under the 20% league average K%, as were 18 of the top-50. The best pitcher on the list was Brad Ziegler, who has been a serviceable low-cost closer over the years despite a very low 14% K rate.
The best on the list also included Mark Melancon, who was thought this pre-season to have a tenuous tenure as the PIT closer because of low strikeouts. Other targetable relievers included Will Harris, who captured the closer role in HOU, Sam Dyson, who landed TEX and Ryan Madson (OAK), all of whom have done some very effective closing despite being just a few points above the league K% average.
Among the starters (minimum 50% starts), the top performers looked like the Cy Young ballots in both leagues: Arrieta, Greinke, Kershaw, Keuchel, deGrom, Cole, Bumgarner, Price, Scherzer. While all of these starters also had solid strikeout rates, the low-TB list also had low-K stalwarts like Marco Estrada, Chris Young, Erasmo Ramirez, John Lackey, Rick Porcello and Jordan Zimmermann.
By now, this was getting exciting. But the real test would be checking to see if a pitcher?s TB/BIP performance in a season predicted his performance in the next year.
Uh, not so much.
While the first-year HQ skill metrics maintained a 30%-ish correlation with next-season ERA, the TB/BIP correlation with next-season ERA fell to 11%?so weak that is closer to random than to predictive (this years? TB/BIP was still 73% correlated to this year?s ERA).
The deal was sealed with one last discovery: last year?s TB/BIP barely predicted this year?s. The correlation between 2015 TB/BIP and 2016?s was just 13%.
The idea behind BABIP is that once the ball is struck, the batter is powerless to determine its outcome. The new stats coming out, which let us see bat velocity and launch angles, seem to suggest batters do have some influence on the BIP outcome. And indeed we knew as much when we realized a few years ago that individual batters establish individual BABIPs (which we at BHQ call Hit Rate).
It?s a little frustrating to see something shiny in your pan, only to find it is fool?s gold. We can now conclude that the connection between TB/BIP and in-year ERA is that both of them are facets of the same events on the field. A pitcher allows lots of TB on his BIP, so his ERA rises. But unlike actual skills, those numbers change in other periods.
But it isn?t all a lost cause. If nothing else, this ultimately futile chase for a new actionable connection between events on the field reminds us of an important rule in analysis: correlation is not causation.
Baseball HQ
 
http://www.mlive.com/tigers/index.ssf/2016/06/jordan_zimmermann_knocked_arou.html#incart_river_index
Jordan Zimmermann knocked around in another Tigers loss to Cleveland.
Mlive

http://www.freep.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2016/06/24/detroit-tigers-cleveland-indians/86364572/
Cleveland 7 - Detroit 4: All bad for Jordan Zimmermann, Tigers.
Freep

http://www.detroitnews.com/story/sp...gh-up-zimmermann-7-0-against-tigers/86366158/
'Awful night': Tigers fall to 0-7 against Indians.
Detnews

http://m.tigers.mlb.com/news/article/186052178/jordan-zimmermann-off-the-mark-from-the-start
Zimmermann off the mark 'from the get-go'.
Tigers official site

http://m.tigers.mlb.com/news/article/186033050/rajai-davis-running-catch-seals-indians-win
Running Rajai's circus catch denies Detroit.
Tigers official site

http://m.tigers.mlb.com/news/article/186015716/indians-win-7th-straight-now-7-0-vs-tigers
Tigers' rally for Zimmermann vs. Tribe falls short.
Tigers official site

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/inde...lemlb_detmlb_1,game_state=Wrapup,game_tab=box
Boxscore.

http://www.blessyouboys.com/2016/6/24/12028416/detroit-tigers-cleveland-indians-recap-
Indians 7 - Tigers 4: Jordan Zimmermann’s not back, yet.
bybtb

http://espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=360624106
Indians beat Tigers 7-4.
espn
 
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