2012 Electoral College Thread

[grandy]

Latest NM poll gives Obama a 9 point advantage

http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/10/28/politics/obama-keeps-n-m-lead-over-romney.html

 

[Mitchrapp]

They polled people wether they voted or not. They breakdown the percentage of people who already voted and who they voted for...so the answer is yes, they're counted

edited: from Rasmussen..
Nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32%) have already cast their ballots. Obama leads 62% to 36% among these voters. Romney has a large lead among those who still plan to vote.

Weather might prevent those guys from voting.

 

[grandy]

Two more polls out (one I'm not gonna add)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7160c83f-98c8-4802-9758-bd492cdeb362
Tie in Florida

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3a2e75e8-050a-4376-a75f-15c2e98935f5
Romney up 8 in Georgia, I already figured Romney would win Georgia anyway so I won't add it

 

[Mitchrapp]

I just voted, absentee ballot. So add my vote, bitches, to Michigan.

 

[tsmith7559]

LOL...gotta luv the CBS propoganda polls....+7, +8, +8 in dem advantage in FL, OH, VA.....

 

[tsmith7559]

I just voted, absentee ballot. So add my vote, bitches, to Michigan.

one vote for Gary Johnson??

 

[tsmith7559]

Polls aside, just driving around the tri county area there sure are a ton of Romney signs. In 2008 there were alot of Obama signs in areas deemed to be swing cities/townships, ie, Waterford Twp (population 71,000). Romney signs outnumber Obama's by at least 6 to 1. Obama won Waterford by 2,200 votes. I noticed an advantage in West Bloomfield Twp of around 4 to 1. West Bloomfield Twp has around 65,000 and went for Obama but about 8,800 votes in 2008.
Nothing scientific, just an observation

 

[grandy]

Seven new polls out

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=11cca51d-06ab-40f5-8ba1-0c8ddc33d855
Obama up 3 in Ohio

http://www.wral.com/wral-news-poll--romney-edges-ahead-in-nc-as-election-nears/11717803/
Romney up 5 in NC

http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/new-poll-shows-obama-casey-still-up-in-pa-1.1396339
Obama up 4 in Pennsylvania

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442/1374/politi
Obama up 3 in Michigan

http://www.scribd.com/doc/111619086/Quinn-10-31-FL-OH-VA?secret_password=2l8php1ck5l2c2wr8j6x
Obama up 5 in Ohio, up 2 in Virginia, and up 1 in Florida

 

[grandy]

Another Virginia poll

http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_October_31_2012.htm
Romney up 5

 

[Mitchrapp]

Rasmussen is really the only poll that matters. They have a history of being correct.

 

[biggunsbob]

Millions of dollars spent on elections every 4 years... Give the candidates the same amount of money and maybe real issues will get debated.. American political system is so wasteful letting the Big interest corporation run everything..

 

[grandy]

Five more polls out today

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op103112.pdf
UofCincinnati - Obama up 2 in Ohio

http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/10/florida-poll-results-10-31-2012.html
Gravis - Romney up 3 in Florida

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/MLSP14_Toplines_LIKELYVOTERS.pdf
Marquette U - Obama up 8 in Wisconsin

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_1031.pdf
PPP - Tie in NC

http://dyn.realclearpolitics.com/tw...hp?message=263434270067003394&date=1351642599
KTSP/SurveyUSA - Obama up 7 in Minnesota (Looking to find a better link, can't find the official documentation for this poll yet)

 

[grandy]

Nate Silver at 538 has compiled a list of "the current forecasts at seven different Web sites that use state polls, sometimes along with a modicum of other information like a state’s past voting history, to produce predictions of the popular vote in each state."

"The first of these sites is FiveThirtyEight. The others, in the order that they’re listed in the table, are Electoral-Vote.com; Votamatic, by the Emory University political scientist Drew Linzer; HuffPost Pollster; Real Clear Politics; Talking Points Memo’s PollTracker; and the Princeton Election Consortium, which is run by Sam Wang, a neuroscientist at Princeton. These are pretty much all the sites I’m aware of that use state polling data in a systematic way."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...olls-suggest-about-the-national-popular-vote/

 

[johnny2x2x]

Obama up 5 in the General Election (LVs) National Journal Poll released today.

 

[tsmith7559]

Obama up 5 in the General Election (LVs) National Journal Poll released today.

Dem +8 in polling....good luck with that

 

[Mitchrapp]

Regardless of your affiliations you have to realize Dems get polled much much more.

 

[Thumb]

Regardless of your affiliations you have to realize Dems get polled much much more.

That, or a good number of conservatives poll as independents.

 

[Mitchrapp]

That, or a good number of conservatives poll as independents.

Doubt it. Its not new, its something that's been going on for awhile.

 

[Thumb]

Doubt it. Its not new, its something that's been going on for awhile.

It's a conspiracy Mitch. Only explanation. (that you would accept)

 

[grandy]

It's a conspiracy Mitch. Only explanation. (that you would accept)

Clearly

Those damn Commie Liberal Muslim polling firms and their call lists, hanging up on republicans whenever they get the chance. Next thing you know they'll be registering dead people and positioning millions of Black Panthers at voting places across the country.