2011 Pythagorean W-L
DET 89-73
KCR 78-84
CLE 75-87
CHW 75-87
MIN 62-100
The Twins signed Jamey Carroll and Josh Willingham. If healthy, both immediately help the Twins. A healthy Morneau and Mauer should also help. It really comes down to their starting pitching. I envision a big rebound, but not enough to win the division.
CHW took a step back when they let Buehrle go. But, they should have plenty of pitching to compete. If Dunn rebounds to decent levels, their olding offense might keep them around .500.
CLE really did it with smoke and mirrors last year. Still, I really like Jimenez and believe they got a steal when they got him (even though he did not perform late last year). If CLE's pitching improves, they should compete with DET again next year.
KCR aren't the Royals for nothing. They got CAREER years from quite a few players (i.e. Francouer, Gordon, Cabrera). I am sorry, but they are still a few years away from competing.