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Brokered Convention

In the 538 "Who's on track" stat, Trump has slowly continued to slip. He was at 96%, now 91% (meaning he's on track to come up 9% short of what he needs to avoid a brokered convention.)
 
The Four Corners of the GOP (Trump Owns Three Of Them)

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-four-corners-of-the-gop-donald-trump-owns-three-of-them/

wasserman-quadrant-1.png
 
If there was ever a time to establish 3rd and 4th parties, now is the time.
 
Trump is back up to 95% on that 538 tracker. (95% of where he needs to be, not 95% likelihood of anything.)
 
Trump jumped to 97%.

Doesn't matter.

Yesterday established beyond a reasonable doubt that Billary will be our president for the next 8 years.

At some of the Sanders campaign events I went to, the speakers stressed making this movement less about the 2016 election and more about forcing long term structural change in the Democratic party. so even after Billary gets the nomination, there's still work to do to force her left, away from her natural Center Right, "free trade" & militant foreign policy perch.

so, you know, there's that. as i understand it, the focus is on opposing "them" where they are not prepared to fight, outside the strict boundaries of the electoral process, and doing that continuously. people that love to describe everything clever as a "hack" could maybe call this "hacking democracy."

it's a big fight and there are a lot of issues to fight over. the key will be finding people committed to one issue or two and keeping them committed.
 
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So what I want now, is for Hillary to get in as much trouble as possible over the email thing and for Trump to get in as much trouble as possible with the Trump University lawsuit. I would like them to both have to testify in court...I think that's as much as you could hope for (well, court for Trump, before Congress for Hillary.)

There's not much to hope for at this point.
 
Actually it didn't establish anything of the kind. You a bettin' man? :*)

If she does win in 2016, it certainly does not make her a lock for reelection in 2020.

The same party in the White House for 12 consecutive years is a hell of a long time, and certainly the Republicans will have the opportunity to nominate an actual, real person.

BT Dubs, the standard wager on this board for the outcome of a presidential election is $1000.
 
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If she does win in 2016, it certainly does not make her a lock for reelection in 2020.

The same party in the White House for 12 consecutive years is a hell of a long time, and certainly the Republicans will have the opportunity to nominate an actual, real person.

BT Dubs, the standard wager on this board for the outcome of a presidential election is $1000.

Only if you can go back on it too.
 
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