Game 17: Packers @ Lions Thread

[grandy]

Green Bay Packers (13-3) @ Detroit Lions (2-13-1)

Line : GB -3.0
O/U : 44.5

Previews
Pride of Detroit
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CBS Sports
ESPN
ACME Packing Company


Injury Report

Lions
Reserve/COVID-19 list
LT Taylor Decker ? added January 3
RT Penei Sewell ? added January 3
EDGE Austin Bryant ? added January 3
RB Rodney Smith (practice squad) ? added January 3

Out
FB Jason Cabinda (knee)

Questionable
QB Jared Goff (knee)
WR Josh Reynolds (thigh) ? added to the injury report on Friday
TE Brock Wright (groin)
LG Jonah Jackson (elbow)
DL Michael Brockers (neck)
LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin (shoulder)

Packers
Reserve/COVID-19 list
RT Billy Turner

Out
CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder)
DL Kingsley Keke (illness)

Questionable
LT David Bakhtiari (knee)
RB Aaron Jones (knee)
LB De?Vondre Campbell (elbow)


Series History
Link
The Lions are 72-103-7 against the Packers
Last Game: 9/20/2021, Packers 35 Lions 17
Last Game in Detroit: 12/13/2020, Packers 31 Lions 24
Last Win: 12/30/2018, Lions 31 Packers 0
Last Win in Detroit: 10/7/2018, Lions 31 Packers 23
Recent Games: The Packers have won the last 5 meetings

 

[grandy]

Football Outsiders Stats

Ranks in parentheses. For info on acronyms and definitions, click on the links.

Team Efficiency

Total DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average)
Green Bay 16.2% (8th)
Detroit -31.9% (31st)

Weighted DVOA (DVOA adjusted for recent games)
Green Bay 24.6% (4th)
Detroit -35.5% (31st)

Offense DVOA
Green Bay 23.2% (2nd)
Detroit -20.0% (29th)

Defense DVOA
Green Bay 1.6% (19th)
Detroit 13.6% (30th)

Special Teams DVOA
Detroit 1.7% (8th)
Green Bay -5.4% (32nd)


Team Offense

Weighted Offense DVOA
Green Bay 28.8% (1st)
Detroit -23.6% (29th)

Pass Offense
Green Bay 42.0% (2nd)
Detroit -10.6% (28th)

Rush Offense
Green Bay 3.2% (8th)
Detroit -17.5% (26th)


Team Defense

Weighted Defense DVOA
Green Bay -1.6% (15th)
Detroit 13.9% (31st)

Pass Defense
Green Bay 2.7% (12th)
Detroit 22.9% (29th)

Rush Defense
Green Bay -0.2% (28th)
Detroit 2.5% (31st)


Offensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Green Bay 4.68 (6th)
Detroit 4.11 (21st)

Power Success
Green Bay 72% (9th)
Detroit 59% (27th)

Stuffed
Green Bay 13.0% (3rd)
Detroit 19.0% (28th)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.22 (12th)
Green Bay 1.19 (15th)

Open Field Yards
Detroit 0.82 (7th)
Green Bay 0.56 (18th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Green Bay 4.7% (4th)
Detroit 5.9% (13th)


Defensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 4.61 (26th)
Green Bay 4.72 (31st)

Power Success
Green Bay 70% (21st)
Detroit 72% (27th)

Stuffed
Detroit 14.0% (24th)
Green Bay 12.0% (30th)

2nd Level Yards
Green Bay 1.27 (22nd)
Detroit 1.28 (26th)

Open Field Yards
Green Bay 0.40 (3rd)
Detroit 0.60 (17th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Green Bay 6.4% (19th)
Detroit 4.9% (30th)


Drive Stats

Net Yards/Drive
Green Bay 5.55 (4th)
Detroit -7.90 (31st)

Net Points/Drive
Green Bay 0.59 (7th)
Detroit -0.94 (29th)

Net DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Green Bay 0.041 (7th)
Detroit -0.061 (27th)

Offense Yards/Drive
Green Bay 39.01 (3rd)
Detroit 30.45 (22nd)

Offense Points/Drive
Green Bay 2.68 (5th)
Detroit 1.72 (24th)

Offense DSR
Green Bay 0.772 (3rd)
Detroit 0.695 (20th)

Defense Yards/Drive
Green Bay 33.45 (20th)
Detroit 38.35 (32nd)

Defense Points/Drive
Green Bay 2.08 (18th)
Detroit 2.66 (31st)

Defense DSR
Green Bay 0.731 (20th)
Detroit 0.756 (30th)

 

[LKP]

Lions 34 Packers 3

 

[tomdalton22]

Lions 34 Packers 3

AR will probably only pay a series. My guess is it will be much closer but the Lions should win vs. GB's 3rd stringers.

 

[grandy]

Colts win and they're in, could still make the playoffs with a loss but I don't think that makes a difference in their approach today. The Lions probably have a 1% chance of getting the #1 pick.

With that in mind, I'd be happy to see the Lions finish out with a win.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Now that was cool.

 

[gotime909]

That might be the best designed play I've seen this year. Very nice

 

[jared]

Holy shit, that was some backyard stuff. So much fun.

 

[Mitchrapp]

I'll be honest if we could knock Rogers down a few times so he misses the playoffs I'd be happy.

 

[jared]

I mean, I wouldn't complain about that.

 

[Mitchrapp]

1000 yards for St. Brown? He has a chance.

 

[gotime909]

St Brown is a beast!!

 

[boogerlovejoy]

1000 yards for St. Brown? He has a chance.

He?s gonna have to hit a big play. Like a 60 yarder.

 

[Mitchrapp]

He?s gonna have to hit a big play. Like a 60 yarder.

When I said that I thought the long TD was him and not Raymond. So yeah but still nice season.

 

[tinselwolverine]

Now when is Equaminius going to get around to doing something in this game?

 

[gotime909]

Swift is a pussy for not trying to turn up and get past the stick

 

[dtroitlionsfan951]

Can someone explain why the clock kept running after Reynolds catch?

 

[jared]

Swift is a pussy for not trying to turn up and get past the stick

That was as bad look by Swift. The spot was worse.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Now when is Equaminius going to get around to doing something in this game?

35 catches in 3 years. Not really an option. Maybe when 3rd team guys are in.

 

[mhughes0021]

Can someone explain why the clock kept running after Reynolds catch?

You have to go forward when going out. Olsen explained it after the Kennedy catch.