Welcome to Detroit Sports Forum!

By joining our community, you'll be able to connect with fellow fans that live and breathe Detroit sports just like you!

Get Started
  • If you are no longer able to access your account since our recent switch from vBulletin to XenForo, you may need to reset your password via email. If you no longer have access to the email attached to your account, please fill out our contact form and we will assist you ASAP. Thanks for your continued support of DSF.

Lions had 1-in-40,000 chance at 7 comeback wins

kalinecountry

Moderator
Moderator
Joined
Aug 2, 2011
Messages
195,230
Detroit Lions
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Red Wings
Boston Celtics
http://www.predictionmachine.com/The-Improbability-of-Every-Lions-Win-11-29-16
The Improbability of Every Lions Win (11/29/16).
PredictionMachine

http://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2016/11/30/detroit-lions-comeback-odds/94665018/
Detroit Lions had 1-in-40,000 chance at 7 comeback wins, website says.
Freep

Overall, the odds of the Lions rallying in all seven of those games and coming away with victories, according to PredictionMachine.com, are .0025%.
That equates to 1 of every 40,000 chances! (NOTE: Website incorrectly says 1 in 400).
 
I would have actually thought it'd be higher than 1 in 40,000.
 
It wasn't luck. Every play was earned. Other team was lucky game was close.
 
I don't know what the odds of the Lions winning the Super Bowl was at the beginning of the season, but it had to be better than this.
 
Det News was just talking about this. Apparently Pro Football Reference has a model which gave the Lions odds of winning all 7 games the way they did at 1 in 8.65 Billion. Which is about 25 x less likely than one of us winning the Powerball.

whether its 40,000-1 or 1 in almost 9 Billion, I think its safe to say that this season has been special so far, and we are not likely to witness anything like it ever again. Fingers crossed they can play just well enough to make the playoffs and even (welp) host a playoff game!
 
Back
Top