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Tigers win 100 games

tycobb420

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 5, 2011
Messages
2,782
My prediction....Tigers win 100 games and win the Central by 20 over Kansas City!
 
KC. Until I see KC with one decent season, I see them fighting for 4th.
 
i may get hung by everyone here, but I think Minnesota is going to be a lot better. I don't think they'll really contend, but I can see them winning 85 games if Mauer and More-no stay healthy. A good trade or two could push them up to our level, i wouldn't sleep on them.

1. Detroit - 95-99 wins
2. Minnesota - 83-88 wins
3. Cleveland - 80-85 wins
4. KC - 75-82 wins
5. CHISUX - 0 - 2 wins
 
Well if we're making predictions:

Detroit -- 89
Cleveland -- 80
KC -- 79
Minny -- 74
Chicago -- 72
 
Minny is going to finish dead-last.

Det. 94
Cle. 79
KC. 78
Chi. 74
Minny. 68
 
FYI...The AL Central teams won 388 games in 2011. Over the last 10 years, they have averages 392. If DET was to win 100 games and win the division by 20 games, that means the 2nd place team only won 80. That would leave 212 wins for the remaining 3 teams, an average of 71 wins.

DET 94
KCR 83
CLE 75
CHW 70
MIN 70
 
I doubt our division wins 390 games. Aside from Detroit, it's the weakest it's been in years. Poster Rebbiv may be closest in total wins.
 
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My predictions: ~85 wins if the Tigers' D and SP/RP performs below average overall. I truly doubt that the Tigers O will place lower than top 10 in MLB, BUT injury(s) and overall disappointing plate performances by ~2/3 of their gameday lineups could drop them further down.

90+ wins if only the 5th starter spot is never truly settled, but everything/one else gels. 95-100+ if their O is top 5, RP is above average, and D is ~league average AND they acquire a veteran LH SP prior to the trade deadline, (the sooner the better, IMO) who pitches no worse than an average #3 or mid-rotation. I think that JV may very well again win 20 or more, but obviously he cannot be the only SP that can be relied on. Fister, Scherzer, and Porcello must also combine for ~45 wins as well, if the Tigers want to sniff 100 wins.

Indians: 81-ish

Royals: 77-ish

Twins: 73-ish

White Sox: 95-100+ loss-ish..haha!!
 
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First off when I posted Minnie would be better, wow, that's all I'm going to say.

As far as how many wins your guess is as good as mine.

But everone should think about this first! the Tigers are going into this season so far with a still unproven 5th starter. From a list of canidates that has not ONE win amoung them in MLB games!!!!! This starter/starters will start as many as 31 games, or 20% of the games. That by its self spells trouble!
Whereas the number one canidate today laid down, and got stomped on.
IMO 90+ wins is within reach. But the other teams in this Division seem more set with there starters. And at this point in time shouldgive the Tigers a good run. Any injury in the top 4 starters will be trouble!
 
First off when I posted Minnie would be better, wow, that's all I'm going to say.

As far as how many wins your guess is as good as mine.

But everone should think about this first! the Tigers are going into this season so far with a still unproven 5th starter. From a list of canidates that has not ONE win amoung them in MLB games!!!!! This starter/starters will start as many as 31 games, or 20% of the games. That by its self spells trouble!
Whereas the number one canidate today laid down, and got stomped on.
IMO 90+ wins is within reach. But the other teams in this Division seem more set with there starters. And at this point in time shouldgive the Tigers a good run. Any injury in the top 4 starters will be trouble!

Given health of the first 4 starters, there is no way that a #5 will get 31 GS. It is more like 25-28. And we are really only talking about the slot, not necessarily the exact pitcher.

Number of DET starters with 31 GS or more (28 or more) {24 or more}/most GS for top 4 starters:

2011 = 4 (4) {4}/ 129 GS
2010 = 1 (3) {5}/ 120 GS
2009 = 3 (3) {4}/ 124 GS
2008 = 1 (4) {4}/ 119 GS
2007 = 1 (3) {3}/ 109 GS
2006 = 3 (4) {4}/ 129 GS
2005 = 3 (4) {4}/ 128 GS
2004 = 4 (4) {4}/ 130 GS
2003 = 2 (3) {3}/ 111 GS
2002 = 0 (2) {2}/ 98 GS

So, ideally, Verlander, Fister, Scherzer and Porcello may only combine for 125-130 GS. A 5th starter may get 25 GS. This would leave 7-12 GS for various other starters. Expecting anything more is unrealistic. I believe too many are putting too much emphasis on that 5th starter. Sure, if one of the top 4 goes down, then the 5 starter will be important. But, on most teams, there are not 5 starters with 25 GS or more. That should tell you something.
 
Tigers are improved from the team that won 95 last year. The rest of the division will struggle to reach .500. I suspect the Tigers will pummel the division leading to the eventual large margin of victory. Basically, my same prediction as last year, but with 5 more wins w/Fielder and a full year of Fister.
 
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