Will DET win 90 or more this year?

[Rebbiv]

I don't think they will.

 

[Rebbiv]

DET records after 57 games:

2006 58-47 .552

2007 56-49 .533

2008 50-55 .476

2009 55-51 .519

2010 51-54 .486

2011 65-40 .619


90 wins = .610

88 wins = .590

86 wins = .571

84 wins = .552

82 wins = .533


At this point, I say they only have a 50-50 chance to win 82.


There has to have some major changes for them to win 90 or more.

 

[tomdalton22]

They would have to get healthy, BB, Avila and Young would have to hit .280+ for the rest of the year and they would need a Fister type addition at the trade deadline. I say there is very little chance to win 90

 

[byco42]

Tigers have to go 64-41 the rest of the way. No way, and I hope that this post is flung in my face in October.

 

[Mitchrapp]

I like the last answer, when those guys were playing we still sucked. We just suck with a different cast of players.

 

[biggunsbob]

Come on maybe we get hot!!!!!

 

[grandy]

To get to...

81 wins (.500)
Chicago 49-56 (.467)
Cleveland 51-55 (.481)
Detroit 55-50 (.524)
KC 57-50 (.533)
Minnesota 59-47 (.557)

85 wins
Chicago 53-52 (.505)
Cleveland 55-51 (.519)
Detroit 59-46 (.562)
KC 61-46 (.571)
Minnesota 63-43 (.594)

90 wins
Chicago 58-47 (.552)
Cleveland 60-46 (.566)
Detroit 64-41 (.610)
KC 66-41 (.619)
Minnesota 68-38 (.642)

95 wins
Chicago 63-42 (.600)
Cleveland 65-41 (.613)
Detroit 69-36 (.657)
KC 71-36 (.664)
Minnesota 73-33 (.689)

100 wins
Chicago 68-37 (.648)
Cleveland 70-36 (.660)
Detroit 74-31 (.705)
KC 76-31 (.710)
Minnesota 78-28 (.736)

 

[hellifino]

Hell no!

 

[lonesometiger]

Looking at there record for teams against winning teams 14-20=.411pct. and losing teams 14-13=.518 really not good!. Getting to 80 is going to be a big deal for them unless there are some big changes. Really and I try to find the best in the Tigers when ever I can. But based upon there current results on games against winning teams getting 70 wins will be hard as there are many winning teams on there 2nd half schedule.
I have them finishing 11 -14 to the all star break. That gets them to 39 - 47 not real bad but
Baltimore 3 expect 1-2
LA Angels 4 expect 1-3
CWS 3 expect 1-2
Cleveland 3 expect 1-2
Toronto 3 expect 1-2 have not played them yet
Bosox 3 expect 1-2
Cleveland 3 expect 1-2
Yanks 4 expect 1-3,2-2
Texas 3 expect 0-3
Minne 3 expect 2-1,3-0
Baltimore 3 expect 1-2
Toronto 3 expect 1-2
LA Angels 3 expect 1-2
KC 3 expect 2-1,3-0
CWS 3 expect 1-2
Cleveland 3 expect 1-2
LA Angels 3 expect 1-2
CWS 4 expect 1-3,2-2
Cleveland 3 expect 1-2
Oakland 3 expect 2-1 Other than the BOSox at this point the only team left on the 2nd half Schedule with a losing record not Minne or KC!
Minne 3 expect 2-1,3-0
KC 3 expect 2-1,3-0
Minne 3 expect 2-1,3-0
KC 3 expect 2-1,3-0
However do not expect the Tigers to win there last 12 games in a row! 30 to 38 wins base on what they are current doing not going to get it done for the Division title IMO! Putting 1st half of 39 with best 2nd half 38 =77 however 69 is possible. I'm going to edit this after it's posted so I can see all the numbers for a better look at them to get the est. winning and losing 2nd half numbers as it looks there losing numbers will be better in the 2nd half and there winnig team numbers are really bad like too many 1-2 results = a .333 average which is lower than there current .411 average but I do not see many wins against those teams, however they have not played Baltimore or Toronto so far!


Should the Tigers get to 90 wins then some real things will have to happen; like starting tonight; right now; this Cub game; like start scoring runs by the bundle, Email, voice mail, beg, steal, barrow, any way that gets runs! Get more RUNS per game. Start winning more games than 1 out of three. B/C that's not working and the schedule is against the Tigers at this point!
EDIT after posting. 17-32 = .346 against 2nd half winning teams. based on ther current stats of .411 they should win 20 and go 20-29 against those teams still not going to win the Division but could push wins total to 80. Based on there current record 90 is not within reach!

 

[grandy]

I'm debating whether they'll even make it to 85 at this point, they'd need to go 57-44 (.564) or better the rest of the season. Right now they just can't put a win streak together to achieve that. I hope they do turn it around, but if they continue alternating wins and losses, it's only going to make it harder.

If I were to set a cutoff date for this team, I'd put it around July 24th (Game 97). If they play .500 ball up to that point (which would give them a record of 46-51), they have to play .600 ball from that point on to reach 85 wins (39-26 the rest of the way), which is going to be really tough to do.

 

[grandy]

Updating this since the Tigers are having a very good July.

90 wins: 40-28 (.588)
85 wins: 35-33 (.515)

 

[grandy]

I'm debating whether they'll even make it to 85 at this point, they'd need to go 57-44 (.564) or better the rest of the season. Right now they just can't put a win streak together to achieve that. I hope they do turn it around, but if they continue alternating wins and losses, it's only going to make it harder.

If I were to set a cutoff date for this team, I'd put it around July 24th (Game 97). If they play .500 ball up to that point (which would give them a record of 46-51), they have to play .600 ball from that point on to reach 85 wins (39-26 the rest of the way), which is going to be really tough to do.

The Tigers were 28-33 at this point.

Since then they've gone 59-40 (.596)


They won't get to 90, the highest they can go is 89. However, they did have some very nice months to finish the season.

July: 16-10
Aug: 16-11
Sept/Oct: 17-12 (2 left)

 

[Mitchrapp]

Yep, they were good. If they wouldn't go in offensive funks at times they probably get to 95 wins.

 

[cmlfactor]

Would have won 90 had they split the season series 3-3 instead of losing 5-1 to the freaking MARINERS. Ugh...

 

[Mitchrapp]

Would have won 90 had they split the season series 3-3 instead of losing 5-1 to the freaking MARINERS. Ugh...

What was our record against Minnesota? It seemed like they beat us a lot.

 

[Thumb]

What was our record against Minnesota? It seemed like they beat us a lot.

The Indians are the only team from the ALC with a winning record against the Tigers iirc.

CLE 8-10
MIN 10-8
CHI 12-6
KC 13-5

We really should have had better records vs. CLE and MIN

SEA 1-5
TEX 3-7
NYY 4-6

Everyone else we were pretty close with, 11-7 vs. NL teams.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Still, no way we should have lost to Minny 8 times.

 

[Thumb]

Still, no way we should have lost to Minny 8 times.

Agreed, that's why we were an 88 win team. if we had been in the ALE or ALW we might not even have been a .500 team.

Getting Victor back next season is not going to fix as much as people think, we need a major transfusion. Getting ride of Young, and Leaving Boesch in Toledo will be a good start.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Agreed, that's why we were an 88 win team. if we had been in the ALE or ALW we might not even have been a .500 team.

Getting Victor back next season is not going to fix as much as people think, we need a major transfusion. Getting ride of Young, and Leaving Boesch in Toledo will be a good start.

It will fix one position, assuming he doesn't struggle. Its a start. Especially since he's already on the team and don't need to sign a DH.

 

[Thumb]

It will fix one position, assuming he doesn't struggle. Its a start. Especially since he's already on the team and don't need to sign a DH.

And assuming he stays healthy. He has been a walking boo-boo last few years.