With runners in scoring position, Cabrera is 31 for 59, with 7 HRs, 44 RBI, 12 walks, 4 strikeouts and 2 GDPs, .525 BA, .932 SLG, OPS well over 1.500??
For the 4 prior years combined, Cabrera batted .331, which I think establishes a ?true? level of ability heading into this year.
Now here are the last 8 qualified years at .380+, since 1932:
- Tony Gwynn, .394, 1994. Going backward year by year, Gwynn had hit .358, .317, .317, .309 ? The most generous figure for his true level of ability going into ?94 (unless we take *just* the one preceding year) would be gotten by taking his 7 prior seasons, which add up to a .332 BA.
- George Brett, .390, 1980. Going backward, .329, .294, .312, .333. That?s the most generous assessment of his ability at that point, and it adds up to a .319 BA.
- Rod Carew,.388, 1977. OK, Carew did have a .351 BA in the 4 prior years, so that?s wasn?t an extreme surge.
- Ted Williams, .388, 1957. Also not a huge surprise, since Ted was a career .348 hitter by that point, including?
- Ted Williams, .406, 1941. Now, that was a shock ? he was a career .336 hitter over 2 prior seasons. And, as great as he was, .336 would prove much much closer to his true ability (career .344) than .406.
- Joe DiMaggio, .381, 1939. Career .331 hitter over 3 prior seasons, and .316 for the rest of his career afterwards.
- Luke Appling, .388, 1936. Had never hit over .322 in his prior 5 full years, and his best marks in 11 full years after were .348 and .328.
- Arky Vaughan, .385, 1935. Career .322 hitter over his 3 prior seasons, never hit above .335 before or after that year.
So, while .380 seasons are very rare, they do happen once in a while ? and when they do, the immediate reaction is generally ?where did THAT come from??
Cabrera is currently batting .400 on balls in play. Again, that?s very likely to go down, but: Just since 1990, there are 17 qualified seasons with BAbip of .390 and up. Manny had a .403 in 2000, and I don?t see anything Manny could do that Miggy can?t. Cabrera already owns full-season BAbip?s of .379, .365, .358 and .355.