To me, the one game play in game is not making the playoffs. It is a fucking joke. It was like when NHL had 16 teams making the playoffs. Big deal.
Nobody guarantees anything. I certainly like the odds of BOS and CLE. Both are deep at starting pitching and have enough offense/defense to compete. There rosters are not laden with aging vets. CLE made it last year without Brantley almost all year and lost Carrasco and Salazar late.
2016 Pythagorean W-L
BOS 98-64 .605
CLE 91-70 .565
TOR 91-71 .562
SEA 87-75 .537
BAL 84-78 .519
DET 83-78 .516
HOU 83-79 .512
TEX 82-80 .506
LAA 80-82 .494
NYY 79-83 .488
CHW 78-84 .481
KCR 77-85 .475
TBR 77-85 .475
OAK 70-92 .432
MIN 66-96 .407
It will be a miracle for OAK and/or MIN to finish above .500. Just like it would take a lot for BOS and/or CLE not to finish above .500. Maybe even throw in TOR. The rest is plus or minus 5 wins from above, without looking at acquisitions. We know DET didn't do crap in the offseason. They just got older. Hoping for better health is not a forecastable item.
The 2014 Giants won the WS from that one game wildcard position. It still counts. The fans won't care how their team made the postseason if they end up winning a championship. It's just about having that glimmer of hope/excitement.
Having said that I don't see the Tigers making the postseason anyway.