Young hit 22.5 PA/HR as a Tiger. Meaning, if he got 600 PAs, it would come out to 27 HR. However, the rate was 25.0 PA/HR over the last 34 games, or 24 HRs.
27.0 PA/HR average at Comerica (11 HRs at Comerica in 60 PA)
32.4 PA/HR average away last 3 years (10 HRs away).
So, ideally, the best you could hope for 21 HRs. I stand by my projection of 18.
I will also point out that Inge hit 27 HRs twice in his career. Is he a 27-HR hitter? He hit 21 HR in the first half of 2009 (16.4 PA/HR) and 6 after (48.7). In 2006, he hit 12 in 180 PA (15.0 PA/HR) and 15 in 421 (28.1 PA/HR).
Or maybe a better argument. Boesch has hit 30 HRs in 984 PAs (32.8 PA/HR). 24 have come in the 1st half (25.6 PA/HR) versus 6 in the 2nd half (61.7 PA/HR). Most of us will agree that Boesch is better than his career 2nd half suggests. However, until he PROVES it, it is just speculation. I could point to June 2010 (8 HR in 115 PAs) as to justification to him being able to hit 40 HRs in season. But taking into account all numbers, including minor, at best, you might say 30. 25 HR power is more within reason. But taking a 25-40 game snapshot is just misconceived.
