Home Runs for Prince

[spockmaster]

So you're saying because it's a contract year he's all of a sudden going to hit over 50% more home runs than his career average? And in a much larger ballpark?

Delmon's going to be productive this year, more though because of the line up than because of his actual skill set, but i don't see him hitting near .300 or 30+ bombs.

I'd say .273, 16 HR 93 RBI, which would be respectable, the bad part is probably 33 GIDP, and 18+ errors.

over/under 0.5 WAR for him this year? I say under.

 

[Thumb]

0.5 might be spot on.

Under if he plays much LF, over if he mostly DH's.

 

[spockmaster]

he's gonna be LF most of the time despite the huge mountain of proof that he should not be allowed anywhere near the outfield which is why i figured under.

 

[Mitchrapp]

DY isn't hitting in as many DP as you think.. I say 20. And BB got the best spot for batting average and scoring runs, where DY got the RBI spot.

 

[tomdalton22]

So you're saying because it's a contract year he's all of a sudden going to hit over 50% more home runs than his career average? And in a much larger ballpark?

Delmon's going to be productive this year, more though because of the line up than because of his actual skill set, but i don't see him hitting near .300 or 30+ bombs.

I'd say .273, 16 HR 93 RBI, which would be respectable, the bad part is probably 33 GIDP, and 18+ errors.

He played in 50 games for the Tigers last year. He hit 13 HRs in those 50 games. The last full season he played he hit 21 HRs and he was only 24 years old. As far as it being a contract year....it does seem that many players have career years when it is a contract year.

 

[Rebbiv]

So, the first thing to determine is how many Plate Appearances DY gets. Because, if he only gets 350, he isn't likely to hit 30 HRs or get 30 GIDP.

Now, 600 PAs is not too far fetched. Anymore than that, probably is.

.285 BAVG .320 OBP .450 SLG .770 OPS 18 HR 86 RBI 25 GIDP

 

[motownwebguy]

Puff, puff, pass

.... which is probably what Dombrowski will do next November & December.

 

[Thumb]

He played in 50 games for the Tigers last year. He hit 13 HRs in those 50 games. The last full season he played he hit 21 HRs and he was only 24 years old. As far as it being a contract year....it does seem that many players have career years when it is a contract year.

Stop counting the playoffs.

He hit 8 HR's in 40 games for the Tigers, for a total of 12 home runs on the 2011 season in 503 PA's.

If you look at this career (not counting 2006 because he only had 131 PA's) 2010 is a fluke, he averages 13.3 HR's a season, I don't see that jumping to 30 because "it's a contract year", especially in CoPa.

 

[tomdalton22]

Stop counting the playoffs.

He hit 8 HR's in 40 games for the Tigers, for a total of 12 home runs on the 2011 season in 503 PA's.

If you look at this career (not counting 2006 because he only had 131 PA's) 2010 is a fluke, he averages 13.3 HR's a season, I don't see that jumping to 30 because "it's a contract year", especially in CoPa.

I understand that playoff games don't count towards HR totals for a players season total. However...using his 5 HRs in 10 games in the playoffs is an indicator of his power potential. So I will use his 13 HRs in 50 games WHILE playing for the Tigers with probably 1/2 of the games being played at Copa. To me it is common sense to include all of the games he has played as a Tiger. I have no idea if he will hit 30+....It's just a prediction.

 

[spockmaster]

I understand that playoff games don't count towards HR totals for a players season total. However...using his 5 HRs in 10 games in the playoffs is an indicator of his power potential. So I will use his 13 HRs in 50 games WHILE playing for the Tigers with probably 1/2 of the games being played at Copa. To me it is common sense to include all of the games he has played as a Tiger. I have no idea if he will hit 30+....It's just a prediction.

Chris Shelton hit 9 homers in 13 games back in '06, was that a show of his power potential?

 

[Mitchrapp]

Bautista of the Blue Jays went from little to a ton. So get on the phone and see what shit Jose was on..problem solved.

 

[spockmaster]

Bautista of the Blue Jays went from little to a ton. So get on the phone and see what shit Jose was on..problem solved.

probably that undetectable crap.

 

[byco42]

Prince makes by himself more than half of the KC Royals' 2012 team payroll. Just an observation. Point: many pundits are predicting the Royals as finishing #2 in the Central Division.

 

[motownwebguy]

Bautista of the Blue Jays went from little to a ton. So get on the phone and see what shit Jose was on..problem solved.

Didn't Selig have Bautista randomly drug-tested 16 times during the 2011 season?

Jose has one heckuva good hiding spot in his body.

 

[Mitchrapp]

I just find it hard to think he just started to learn how to mash the ball that many time times. 16, 15, 15, 13 and then 54 followed by 43.

 

[tomdalton22]

I just find it hard to think he just started to learn how to mash the ball that many time times. 16, 15, 15, 13 and then 54 followed by 43.

I hope DY takes whatever Baustista is taking!

 

[motownwebguy]

I hope DY takes whatever Baustista is taking!

Can we add Brennan Boesch?

 

[Mitchrapp]

What's Inge taking to get his high HR totals? He probably tests positive and the Commissioner is like "eh". Lol.

 

[Rebbiv]

I understand that playoff games don't count towards HR totals for a players season total. However...using his 5 HRs in 10 games in the playoffs is an indicator of his power potential. So I will use his 13 HRs in 50 games WHILE playing for the Tigers with probably 1/2 of the games being played at Copa. To me it is common sense to include all of the games he has played as a Tiger. I have no idea if he will hit 30+....It's just a prediction.

Young hit 22.5 PA/HR as a Tiger. Meaning, if he got 600 PAs, it would come out to 27 HR. However, the rate was 25.0 PA/HR over the last 34 games, or 24 HRs.

27.0 PA/HR average at Comerica (11 HRs at Comerica in 60 PA)

32.4 PA/HR average away last 3 years (10 HRs away).

So, ideally, the best you could hope for 21 HRs. I stand by my projection of 18.



I will also point out that Inge hit 27 HRs twice in his career. Is he a 27-HR hitter? He hit 21 HR in the first half of 2009 (16.4 PA/HR) and 6 after (48.7). In 2006, he hit 12 in 180 PA (15.0 PA/HR) and 15 in 421 (28.1 PA/HR).

Or maybe a better argument. Boesch has hit 30 HRs in 984 PAs (32.8 PA/HR). 24 have come in the 1st half (25.6 PA/HR) versus 6 in the 2nd half (61.7 PA/HR). Most of us will agree that Boesch is better than his career 2nd half suggests. However, until he PROVES it, it is just speculation. I could point to June 2010 (8 HR in 115 PAs) as to justification to him being able to hit 40 HRs in season. But taking into account all numbers, including minor, at best, you might say 30. 25 HR power is more within reason. But taking a 25-40 game snapshot is just misconceived.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Well, if Bautista could do it? I think he's on something but he's been clean..

Just saying but my guess is about the same, 19.