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If the dems win the House

Gulo Blue

Well-known member
Joined
Oct 4, 2013
Messages
13,502
Not a done deal, but it seems there's a good chance the dems will win the House and not the Senate bringing a couple years of government gridlock. I think that's fine. My impression is that the economy likes government gridlock.


What's more troubling is the predictions I'm seeing that it would impact investigations into Trump and the ability investigators have to subpoena. That's kind of BS. If there's truth to those claims, then whether or not certain people are above the law depends on completely unrelated elections.
 
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Not a done deal, but it seems there's a good chance the dems will win the House and not the Senate bringing a couple years of government gridlock. I think that's fine. My impression is that the economy likes government gridlock.


What's more troubling is the predictions I'm seeing that it would impact investigations into Trump and the ability investigators have to subpoena. That's kind of BS. If there's truth to those claims, then whether or not certain people are above the law depends on completely unrelated elections.

I've been hearing that the investigations will be stepped up if the Dems win the house. I've also been hearing they're already threatening to subpoena everyone. If that's the case, we're going to have a never ending Russia investigation that goes nowhere, but makes headlines virtually every night.

Looking forward to Mad Maxine, the most corrupt member of the house getting a senior committee position and the media pumping her up as if she's the "Lioness of the House" for taking on Trump nonstop instead of calling her out for being the crook she actually is.
 
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538 odds of the 4 possible scenarios:


67.9% - Dem House, GOP Senate
17.9% - Dems take both chambers
14.1% - GOP keeps both chambers
0.2% - GOP House, Dem Senate
 
538 odds of the 4 possible scenarios:


67.9% - Dem House, GOP Senate
17.9% - Dems take both chambers
14.1% - GOP keeps both chambers
0.2% - GOP House, Dem Senate

I'm surprised the chance of the Dems taking both are that much better than the GOP keeping both. Didn't realize their chance of taking the Senate was that high.
 
Looking forward to Mad Maxine, the most corrupt member of the house getting a senior committee position and the media pumping her up as if she's the "Lioness of the House" for taking on Trump nonstop instead of calling her out for being the crook she actually is.

The speculation in her hometown is that Maxine Waters would chair the committee for no justice and no Peace, although that might be dependent on whether Nancy Pelosi is reelected as speaker, which is not for sure.

That hot little Chiquita from the Bronx Beating that other guy in the primarymakes it less likely that Pelosi would not be reelected though.
 
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I'm surprised the chance of the Dems taking both are that much better than the GOP keeping both. Didn't realize their chance of taking the Senate was that high.

As am I. Democrats don't show up when it counts. Really good at protesting and spamming social media but the voting booths always seem to elude them.
 
I Doubt Democrat’s take either the house or senate. I will believe it when I see it. I sure hope it happens that is for sure.
 
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I'm surprised the chance of the Dems taking both are that much better than the GOP keeping both. Didn't realize their chance of taking the Senate was that high.


Last election, Trump won when they said he had a 30% chance of winning and others said Trump had even less of a chance. The difference was how 538 modeled the potential for systematic error in polls vs other predictors. I wonder if 538 has changed how they make that estimate.
 
that's because Republicans make it difficult for them to vote. Everyone knows that.

There are some cases where that may be true (I know you were being facetious) but that doesn't, in my opinion, explain their shitty turn out in but a handful of states.
 
Democrats could pick up some governorships, which would be solid, esp. in the Midwest.
 
that Georgia governor's race is infuriatingly sleazy, with the Republitard candidate also being in charge of state elections. sleazebag should've resigned to seek office
 
538 is swinging towards Republicans as the results start rolling in.
 
edit: I'm not sure yet why 538 is swinging so hard to the Republicans, but they are. From 84-ish% to 64% chance of Democrats winning the House at this point.
 
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Democrats are actually losing seats in the senate lol. Blue wave is an urban legend.
 
Fox has already called the house for dems
Republicans look like they pick up seats in senate

Gretchen is the new gov of MI and that stabenow James race is too close to call

And Looks like rec marijuana will pass
 
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