- Thread Author
- #21
everyoneneedsasmil
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- Aug 18, 2011
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The Bucks are winning because they got insanely lucky. If Giannis ended up like a normal 15th pick, that team would be nowhere. If they hadn't fleeced a really bad GM for Middleton, who would their second best player be?
There's not just one way to rebuild. The Pistons championship was built on collecting undervalued players who were better than they seemed. That was awesome, but it also required 4 different teams to massively misvalue their players, and then it still required some luck in the draft (would they have won if any of the 20 teams ahead picked Tayshaun?).
Right now it's more about probabilities. Is it more likely that our GM is just way smarter than everyone else (as Joe and Stan certainly thought they were), or that they are going to be no better or worse than the rest? Are we more likely to get a franchise altering player in the draft, free agency, or a trade? Are we just one big move from contending, or years away? Once you honestly assess those questions, tanking and drafting just seem the better plan.
There's not just one way to rebuild. The Pistons championship was built on collecting undervalued players who were better than they seemed. That was awesome, but it also required 4 different teams to massively misvalue their players, and then it still required some luck in the draft (would they have won if any of the 20 teams ahead picked Tayshaun?).
Right now it's more about probabilities. Is it more likely that our GM is just way smarter than everyone else (as Joe and Stan certainly thought they were), or that they are going to be no better or worse than the rest? Are we more likely to get a franchise altering player in the draft, free agency, or a trade? Are we just one big move from contending, or years away? Once you honestly assess those questions, tanking and drafting just seem the better plan.