[color=#006400 said:
Mitch[/color]]
Who would be the other half, Dirks? Not sure he could hit RHP any better. I agree that Raburn has potential but disagree with others (Devi) who say most average hitters are inconsistent like Raburn. Raburn seems to have long stretches of crap, not 2-3 weeks but 2-3 months.
Career Monthly Averages:
Mar/Apr = .746 OPS
May =
.465 OPS
Jun = .751 OPS
Jul = .776 OPS
Aug = .852 OPS
Sep/Oct = .891 OPS
Raburn has acceptable stats in all months except May. While his stats in August and September are really good, they shouldn't be what you compare the rest of the months to.
Having a .731 Career OPS vs RHP is not BAD. It just isn't what you would like from a full time player. The average OPS for a MLB 2B over the last 3 years is .727. So, Raburn is more than league average offensively at 2B, even if he hit full time versus RHP.
Next...the average MLB 2B had 780 Total Chances in 162 games last year. That comes to 4.81 RF (chances per game). Raburn average 4.51 last year, 5.35 in 2010 and 4.71 for his career.
So, if he played all 162 games at 2B, Raburn would have 763 Total Chances (17 less than average). He would also average 34 errors versus the average of 12 errors.
Now, 22 errors plus 17 less chances does not necessarily equate to 39 additional runs, because not ever error results in a run, nor does all missed chances equate to a run. Sabermatically (used in WAR), 10 runs = a win. So, assuming Raburn did cost an additional 39 runs in a full 162 games, that comes to 3.9 wins for defense. Highly unlikely he would play 162 games at 2B and again, not all the 39 would mean additional runs, maybe half.
IMHO, many people are overstating the defensively liability Raburn causes at 2B. I will admit personally, I would rather have him play LF over Young. But, given a choice between Santiago, Inge and Raburn, I would start Raburn most games at 2B.
And just like most people overstate his lack of defense at 2B, so too people overstate Raburn's inability to hit in the first half or against RHP. Certainly his first half woe exists and most sabermatics cannot explain. I believe Turok posted the FanGraph's article.
Furthermore, IMHO, there are two far worse issues to debate than Raburn and 2B. It would be Inge having any amount of playing time and Young starting most games in LF.
FYI...last 3 years for D. Young against RHP:
.303 OBP .415 SLG .718 OPS
vs Raburn
.310 OBP .424 SLG .734 OPS