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- #101
Michchamp
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if Ray Lewis told you it was an autographed football, you'd buy a polished turd from him.
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Get Startedif Ray Lewis told you it was an autographed football, you'd buy a polished turd from him.
.. it's close to impossible to make an argument against Colin Kaepernick starting for a handful of NFL teams right now, let alone being on an NFL roster. For whatever flaws Kaepernick has as a quarterback, a look at history suggests that there hasn't been a single quarterback in the post-merger modern NFL to play like Kaepernick did in 2016 without getting another shot at a job afterward.
Let's leave aside Kaepernick's abilities as a runner -- which are still significant, given that he led all quarterbacks in rushing DYAR and was fourth in rushing DVOA last season -- and ignore his two-plus excellent seasons as a quarterback under Jim Harbaugh, both of which would be treated as reasons to shell out millions on any other quarterback's r?sum?. Instead, let's simply look at what Kaepernick did last season under Chip Kelly on a frustratingly bad 49ers team while throwing to Jeremy Kerley, Quinton Patton and Garrett Celek as his most-targeted receivers. (They've combined for four catches through two weeks in 2017.)
The best simple metric for quarterbacks using raw stats is adjusted net yards per attempt (ANY/A), which is essentially a supercharged passer rating with better coefficients and sacks incorporated. Pro-Football-Reference.com provides index statistics that allow you to compare a quarterback's numbers to players from his era and scales them to a 100-point system through standard deviations above and below the mean. Kaepernick's 2016 ANY/A+, the index statistic for ANY/A, was a 97. He was one-fifth of one standard deviation below the mean as compared to every other 2016 quarterback, finishing 23rd among 31 qualifying quarterbacks in the category.
It's rare for a young quarterback who gets regular reps in the NFL in any given season to finish his career without getting at least another shot or two. How rare? I went looking for quarterbacks who had not yet hit their 30s and threw 200 passes or more in a season without ever playing again. Kaepernick will turn 30 in November, so 2016 was his age-29 season.
There are only 14 other quarterbacks besides Kaepernick to do that in NFL history, not including other passers from 2016 who were hired elsewhere (such as Osweiler or Matt Barkley) or Teddy Bridgewater, whose future is uncertain after a catastrophic knee injury. Kaepernick's 97 ANY/A+ was third-best among the group, but even if he'd played worse in 2016, it shouldn't have mattered. Every one of them had an excuse for ending their career without getting another shot at an NFL job that wouldn't apply for Kaepernick.
Six of the quarterbacks suffered career-ending or career-shortening injuries, including Neil Lomax (arthritic hip), Steve Ramsey (double ankle surgery), Tim Couch (rotator cuff), Heath Shuler (repeated foot injuries), and Gary Marangi (shoulder). Pat Haden suffered a knee injury and retired while rehabbing the injury to take a broadcasting job. Johnny Manziel and JaMarcus Russell left the league amid substance-abuse issues. Kaepernick would not fit into either of these categories.
The other six quarterbacks -- each with a fraction of Kaepernick's r?sum? and a less-impressive final season as a regular quarterback -- were given one or more opportunities to sign with an NFL team but never made it back onto the field for a regular-season pass. Joey Harrington, Mike McMahon, Cade McNown, John Skelton, Craig Whelihan and Randy Wright each went to training camp with one or more teams without making it onto the field. This was also true of some of the injured players. Consider that Marangi went 0-7 as a starter and set a still-standing league record for lowest career completion percentage. The Packers still tried to trade for him, only to be rebuffed when Marangi failed a physical. The Browns signed Marangi anyway.
Tom Brady said Kaepernick should be playing in the NFL right now.
Hmm... who to listen to?
spartanmack... or TOM BRADY?
Guy with horrible opinions on things... or GREATEST QUARTERBACK OF ALL TIME?
you decide?
Vic, he's good enough to be on a roster, period. He's better than a handful of current starters, and would be the backup on basically every team.
Agree.
Racism and his cause are precisely why he's not on a roster.
Agree.
Racism and his cause are precisely why he's not on a roster.
So the NFL, as an entity, is, at its very core, racist in the purest sense of the term. Got it.The NFL also bans post-game prayer on the field after games, too. So it is also atheist. No women are on NFL rosters, making it gender-biased. And, of course, half the nicknames of the teams are offensive to someone, making it insensitive.
One wonders how the NFL is even allowed to exist in its present state.
racism has nothing to do with it. his "cause" isn't helping him, but it's mostly his play. He's been bad for the last 3 years and plays a game that doesn't fit most systems.
that stuff about Tebow is just nonsense - nobody cut Tebow because his fans were a distraction.
Byco, it is completely false to blame the entire body of the NFL and throw these words to describe it, when it is a tiny group of owners who are afraid to take Kapernick.
If you went across the league and interviewed coaches and players on these teams that are trotting out the Case Keenum's of the world, those guys would beg for him to be their QB. He's just a better QB than a lot of those guys.
He's not getting a job because owners can't stand him, period, end of discussion. Has nothing to do with his ability.
The cop socks, the social media and the extreme messages stand in relief to other players sitting.Why exactly do you call him a poison?? That's a much bigger issue here. The guy is doing what hundreds of other NFL players are doing, he was just the one that was attached to the cause.
No, no it's not. The ENTIRE issue is owners being scared to take a chance. His ABILITY is higher than the garbage that multiple teams are trotting out. I'll get into the stats and data with you if you'd like, but you cannot even debate that he's not better than Case Keenum, Jacoby Brissett, Mike Glennon, Brian Hoyer, etc...
It's just very convinenent for the people who are scared of who he is that he's not a great QB. It's worked out very nicely. Stop using that as a smoke screen for the real reason he's not getting a job.
Again, he's not getting a job because there are a tiny group of owners who are scared to deal with it.
I won't argue with you about the cop socks. But the vast majority of it has been silent protest. The dude's been pretty damn quiet.
That's a horrible comparison. No one is better than those guys.
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