Tigers vs. Brewers May 31, 2021 Game 54

[kalinecountry]

https://totallytigers.wordpress.com/2021/05/31/20-may-thoughts-6/
20 MAY THOUGHTS.
Totally Tigers

Considering what we saw in April, the month of May was far better. I think we can all agree that after a month of horror, it will be much nicer looking back at May when the Tigers ended up winning more games than they lost.

So let?s take a good hard look at May and wrap it up with a nice little bow and a star on the forehead of each and every Tiger.

Topics will be random and all over the map, the way we like them, and holdovers remain important for thoughts that need more time to simmer.

Please enjoy another monthly compilation of 20 Thoughts ? for May.

 

[tomdalton22]

You are Probably right but Milwaukee bunted and won..Sadly 2 runs just isn?t good enough. Avila may be decent at drafting starting pitcher (well that is to be determined yet) but his everyday lineup is just putrid. Sadly even sweeping a few series his crappy club is still 10 Games under .500. Man we struck out another 12 times . Yikes.

76-86

I will be very happy if the Tigers finish the season 10 games under .500

 

[Rebbiv]

Run Expectancy

2B w/ 0 outs = 1.10

3B w/ 1 out = .95


Even if a sacrifice bunt is successful, you still reduce run expectancy.

The fact that Grossman and Harold were not "protecting" the plate does not help either. Man on third and less than 2-outs you need to be putting the ball in play at all costs. Two strike looking is just bad baseball.


Any team/manager that is a disciple of analytics would know about Run Expectancy and would know not to give away outs. Now, being the HOME team in the NL with a pitcher batting or Ray Oyler, it might make more sense.

 

[Mitchrapp]

That first swing by Grossman looked like he was trying to hit it over and out of the stadium.

 

[tomdalton22]

MLB team averages for 2021

.236 BA
.312 OBP
.705 OPS

Tigers in May
.248 BA
.329 OBP
.695 OPS

If the pitching stays the same and they continue to hit like they did in May, I think they will be OK for the rest of the year...probably stay around .500

 

[Mitchrapp]

The pitchers across the leagues definitely have an advantage now it seems. .236 if it continues would be the lowest in history. Closes in .237 in '68.

 

[tomdalton22]

The pitchers across the leagues definitely have an advantage now it seems. .236 if it continues would be the lowest in history. Closes in .237 in '68.

I think it might be due to the approach at the plate now. It's all about launch angle and hitting HRs which probably brings the BA down.

In 1968 the average runs per game was 6.8

So far in 2021 it is 8.7

 

[Mitchrapp]

I think it might be due to the approach at the plate now. It's all about launch angle and hitting HRs which probably brings the BA down.

In 1968 the average runs per game was 6.8

So far in 2021 it is 8.7

Certainly a different game from the 60's but always the home runs these days I agree.

 

[Rebbiv]

It is the shifts. Plain and simple.

LH vs RHP (5 year icrements)

2021 = .234 BAVG .714 OPS
2016 = .257 BAVG .757 OPS
2011 = .262 BAVG .743 OPS
2006 = .277 BAVG .801 OPS
2001 = .272 BAVG .793 OPS
1996 = .278 BAVG .789 OPS
1991 = .263 BAVG .723 OPS
1986 = .265 BAVG .742 OPS
1981 = .263 BAVG .710 OPS
1976 = .266 BAVG .714 OPS
1971 = .261 BAVG .721 OPS
1966 = .256 BAVG .717 OPS
1961 = .270 BAVG .780 OPS
1956 = .273 BAVG .773 OPS
1951 = .274 BAVG .764 OPS

BAVG and OBP is lower, but slugging is relatively the same. That is because the shift does not take away that many extra base hits. Just hits in general. The because impact is against left handed hitters, especially with no one on. The BAVG has dropped dramatically because of the shifts.

 

[tomdalton22]

It is the shifts. Plain and simple.

LH vs RHP (5 year icrements)

2021 = .234 BAVG .714 OPS
2016 = .257 BAVG .757 OPS
2011 = .262 BAVG .743 OPS
2006 = .277 BAVG .801 OPS
2001 = .272 BAVG .793 OPS
1996 = .278 BAVG .789 OPS
1991 = .263 BAVG .723 OPS
1986 = .265 BAVG .742 OPS
1981 = .263 BAVG .710 OPS
1976 = .266 BAVG .714 OPS
1971 = .261 BAVG .721 OPS
1966 = .256 BAVG .717 OPS
1961 = .270 BAVG .780 OPS
1956 = .273 BAVG .773 OPS
1951 = .274 BAVG .764 OPS

BAVG and OBP is lower, but slugging is relatively the same. That is because the shift does not take away that many extra base hits. Just hits in general. The because impact is against left handed hitters, especially with no one on. The BAVG has dropped dramatically because of the shifts.

I read this article and I'm not so sure it is just because of the shift. It estimated that about 575 hits are taken away in a year because of the shift.

in 2019 MLB BA was .252 Add 575 hits and it would have been .256

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/03/18/baseball-shift-rule-changes/

 

[kalinecountry]

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id...all-first-reliever-win-cy-young-award-dies-78
'Iron Mike' Marshall, first reliever to win Cy Young Award, dies at 78.
espn

Born Michael Grant Marshall on Jan. 15, 1943, in Adrian, Michigan, he began his big league career with the Detroit Tigers in 1967. They sent him back to the minors in 1968, when he was drafted by the expansion Seattle Pilots.
He pitched a single season for the Houston Astros in 1970.