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Tigers vs. twins Spring Training March 21

Maybe someone else, but certainly not me.



Yet Penny got the job done, as bad as he was.

11 wins, could have been more because I remember the bullpen blowing a couple, and he ate innings.

I certainly don't want him back, but I'm not seeing any improvement in the 5th spot this year without a trade.
 
I still would of rather signed a 3 during the off-season. Big gamble on these minor league dudes.
 
Tigers lose 7-3 to the Twins. The team enjoys an off day tomorrow before facing the Pirates in Bradenton on Friday.
 
I see from the boxscore that Tyler Collins, Steven Moya, and Dixon Machado got into the game.
How did they look in their at bats, in the field?
 
Yet Penny got the job done, as bad as he was.

11 wins, could have been more because I remember the bullpen blowing a couple, and he ate innings.

I certainly don't want him back, but I'm not seeing any improvement in the 5th spot this year without a trade.


13 Quality Starts out of 31 (41.9%), 7 out of last 18 starts (38.9%). The average MLB starter gets 47.5%. Given league average run support, a starter will win about 75% of his Quality Starts. More run supoort = more wins. 75% 13 QS = 10 Wins. Penny won 11, which means one of his wins came do to run support. All starters experience a bullpen blowing leads from time to time, yet Penny only one came on April 12th, and DET still won the game.

2011 DET record in starts:

Fister 8-2 80.0%

Verlander 25-9 73.5%
Porceloo 21-10 67.7%
Scherzer 21-12 63.6%
Penny 16-15 51.6%

Coke, Turner, Furbush, Below and Oliver went 4-19 17.9% (Coke was 4-10, 28.6%)

Assume Fister, Verlander, Porcell and Scherzer win 65% of their games started in 2012 (they were 75-33, 69.4% in 2011). They actually would total about 85-87 wins in 2012. This would mean the 5th starter spot would have to win 8-10 out 28 GS (28.6%-35.7%) to equal last year's 95 wins.

Bottom line, we don't need much from the 5th starter.
 
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