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Michchamp
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When? This Saturday, November 4, 2023 @ 7:30 PM Eastern (a Night Game for this?!?!), Michigan plays Purdue.
Line: UM -33
o/u: 50.5
Sagarin predictor: UM wins by 31
Game notes: Michigan is 46-14 all time vs. the Boilermakers. We've won our last five (5) games in a row vs. Purdue, going back to 2010, under RichRod. We're on a 23 game regular season win streak, and have won 20 straight in Michigan Stadium (record is 28, under Bo).
According to some really smart people who went to really tough-to-get-into schools like Michigan State and Ohio State, we've only managed to do this by cheating - CHEATING THEY TELLS US! - and should forfeit all our games going back to 2020, fire our coach and never play football again.
The whole thing is so absurd, I'm tired of even thinking about it or opining about it, and if losers want to sling mud, let them. They have short and highly selective memories as it is. SOOO... I'll leave them with the words of the immortal Al Davis...
About our Opponent:
Purdue is lousy this season, under new 1st Year Head Coach Ryan Walters. This is also his 1st year as a HC; just last season he was Illinois' DC and had been Mizzou's DC for several years going back to 2016 before that. Purdue is currently 2-6 (1-4) and is tied for the worst overall record with Indiana and MSU (IU and MSU both have the worst conference records at 0-5).
Unlike some of those schools, Purdue kinda has an excuse, in that they not only lost a decent HC in Jeff Brohm, who jumped ship to go back to UL, but a good DC (former UM DC Ron English, who left went with Brohm). They lost A LOT of talent from last year, including ace QB Aidan O'Connell, 2 WRs (David Bell & Charlie Jones) to the NFL, and NFL 1st round Pick George Karlaftis (DE).
Purdue has also played a tough schedule so far (Sagarin ranked 8th overall toughest), so it's hard to know if they're as bad as some of the other bottom feeders in the conference, or more of a victim of circumstances.
Stats Watch!
Total Defense: 1st (Purdue is 71st)
Rush Defense: 6th (... 80th)
Pass Eff Defense: 2nd (...73rd)
Scoring Defense: 1st (...95th)
Rushing Offense: 44th(!!!) (...t91st)
passing Eff.: 3rd (113th)
Scoring Offense: 6th (104th)
Turnover Margin: 7th (t61st)
Penalties/Game: t2nd (85th)
Let's get the running game going this week, eh? Enough is enough.
But... yeah. I don't see them giving us much of a game. They'd have to play out of their heads to make that happen. Even if we play sloppy, they don't have anything on offense to make us pay for our mistakes. Still, the SOS factor means their numbers are likely deflated a bit. They aren't as much of a mess as they appear to be on paper.
So go ahead and make your picks and post some analysis if you so choose, but as always, leave the woofing and the barking for other threads!
Line: UM -33
o/u: 50.5
Sagarin predictor: UM wins by 31
Game notes: Michigan is 46-14 all time vs. the Boilermakers. We've won our last five (5) games in a row vs. Purdue, going back to 2010, under RichRod. We're on a 23 game regular season win streak, and have won 20 straight in Michigan Stadium (record is 28, under Bo).
The whole thing is so absurd, I'm tired of even thinking about it or opining about it, and if losers want to sling mud, let them. They have short and highly selective memories as it is. SOOO... I'll leave them with the words of the immortal Al Davis...
About our Opponent:
Purdue is lousy this season, under new 1st Year Head Coach Ryan Walters. This is also his 1st year as a HC; just last season he was Illinois' DC and had been Mizzou's DC for several years going back to 2016 before that. Purdue is currently 2-6 (1-4) and is tied for the worst overall record with Indiana and MSU (IU and MSU both have the worst conference records at 0-5).
Unlike some of those schools, Purdue kinda has an excuse, in that they not only lost a decent HC in Jeff Brohm, who jumped ship to go back to UL, but a good DC (former UM DC Ron English, who left went with Brohm). They lost A LOT of talent from last year, including ace QB Aidan O'Connell, 2 WRs (David Bell & Charlie Jones) to the NFL, and NFL 1st round Pick George Karlaftis (DE).
Purdue has also played a tough schedule so far (Sagarin ranked 8th overall toughest), so it's hard to know if they're as bad as some of the other bottom feeders in the conference, or more of a victim of circumstances.
Stats Watch!
Total Defense: 1st (Purdue is 71st)
Rush Defense: 6th (... 80th)
Pass Eff Defense: 2nd (...73rd)
Scoring Defense: 1st (...95th)
Rushing Offense: 44th(!!!) (...t91st)
passing Eff.: 3rd (113th)
Scoring Offense: 6th (104th)
Turnover Margin: 7th (t61st)
Penalties/Game: t2nd (85th)
Let's get the running game going this week, eh? Enough is enough.
But... yeah. I don't see them giving us much of a game. They'd have to play out of their heads to make that happen. Even if we play sloppy, they don't have anything on offense to make us pay for our mistakes. Still, the SOS factor means their numbers are likely deflated a bit. They aren't as much of a mess as they appear to be on paper.
So go ahead and make your picks and post some analysis if you so choose, but as always, leave the woofing and the barking for other threads!
