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Worst Drew Sharp article yet

I'm torn between Millner and Moore, but i'm leaning more towards Moore...just barely.

For me:

1. Joeckel- miss probability 1%

Reason: He is the best pass blocking OT to come out in awhile. If we are going to pay Stafford $60 million and make him throw it 700 times a year we can cover his ass with studs at LT and RT.

Additional benefit: we can let both tackles walk/retire, free up cap space for a DE.
Major problem: we don't get a DE.

What will happen: he's gone by 5, moot point.

2. Damontre Moore - miss probability 25%

Reason: KVB is done, Avril is due $12 mil if we refranchise him, Young and Jackson were one of Nostradamus' less accurate predictions. We need serious pass rush help to mask our Titanic grade leaky secondary.

Additional Benefit: we actually address a need at the top of the draft for the first time in a couple years.

Major problem: Even high pick DEs can be serious misses hence the 25%, and most take a year or two to adjust to the NFL and ramp up production. Didn't play great IMO against Bama, the litmus test for NFL.

What will happen: he'll be gone by 5, unless KC and Jax go qb crazy. Likely moot point.

3. Bjoren Werner - miss probability 30%

Reason: KVB is done. He's basically KVB coming out of college, with a higher ceiling. Great motor guy, pocket collapser.

Additional Benefit: see above.

Major Problem: see above, plus I could snag a couple sacks against some of the worse ACC teams. Did well versus a running qb playing Clemson though.

What will happen: he might be there, we'll pass for Jarvis Jones.

4. Chance Warmack - miss probability 5%

Reason - he's a stud who fills a need. Best run blocker in several drafts.

Additional Benefit: Lesuss is actually productive. He still doesn't break one longer than 16 yards but he gets enough 6, 7 yard runs to take some pressure off Staff, and wind down the clock in games we are ahead. Of course this won't happen by adding just one guy (we still have Crayola) but it is one hell of a good start.

Major problem: he's a guard, traditionally 5 is two high, plus we don't get a DE.

What will actually happen: he'll be there, but not on our radar at 5, possibly if we trade back a few spots.

Dee Milner - miss probability 30%

Reason: if you don't know this you are either LKP or on the wrong message board. Fits our scheme, played great coverage all year. At worst a guy you can put on an athletic TE which he showed in the NC game.

Additional benefit: huge need, may be even bigger if Houston walks.

Major Problem: he's been a great db but hasn't blown the doors off any draftniks the way a Patrick Peterson did. Even if he just turns out to be solid, that isn't in our case a major problem, I'd take that all day. Adjustment periods exist for DBS as well, likely not going to fix our mess immediately even if we do resign Houston.

What will actually happen: to prove his BPA strategy well pass because this is our biggest need. I hope that they would trade down grab the 4th (or if MM can swing it a 3rd) and grab him a couple spots down the board.
 
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