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2017-2018 MLB Free Agent Predictions and Tracker

tomdalton22 said:
I don't think it's teams can't afford it...they are just figuring out it just isn't worth it.

As far as sports card trading...that's really stupid if you think about it. Buying a piece of cardboard that has a picture of an athlete on it and think you should make money off of it?
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I suppose
 
Rebbiv said:
Padres sign Hosmer for 8 years, $144 Mil

https://sports.yahoo.com/sources-pa...largest-deal-franchise-history-045527963.html

Good luck with a mediocre 1B. Tied 14th in Away OPS last 3 years. 26th in UZR/150 (35th in DRS). $144 Mill over 8 years is not a lot of money in the grand scheme.
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$5M signing bonus + 5 years at $20 per year then he can opt out. If he doesn't, the last 3 are @ $13M per year. Compare that contract to what Miggy is owed on his...6 years $196M.

Miggy will be 39 at the end and Hosmer will be 36 (only 33 at the end of the 5 years)
 
tomdalton22 said:
$5M signing bonus + 5 years at $20 per year then he can opt out. If he doesn't, the last 3 are @ $13M per year. Compare that contract to what Miggy is owed on his...6 years $196M.

Miggy will be 39 at the end and Hosmer will be 36 (only 33 at the end of the 5 years)
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Comparing a HoF 1B to a mediocre 1B at different ages does what?

Hosmer will make $125 Mil 29-33. Cabrera made $114 Mil 29-33. In 14 FULL years in the Bigs, Miguel never had an OPS below .879 except for last year. In 7 FULL years in the Bigs, Hosmer never had an OPS above .879 (.882) except for last year. Who has the better chance of posting an OPS above .879 in 2018? Or even multiple years in the next 5?



Ages 26-28 Away

M. Cabrera 158 +wRC .410 OBP .568 SLG .978 OPS

E. Hosmer 115 +wRC .349 OBP .450 SLG .779 OPS


Hosmer is below average metrically on defense. Miguel actually is in the top 10. So why the love of Hosmer and his contract?

I personally could give a rats ass for the Padres and what they do. Except, these types of overvaluing contracts effects other salaries going forward.
 
glad he's out of our Div at least. makes KC weaker, that's good for us. Guy tore us up
 
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Rebbiv said:
Odds are he will be acceptable for the Twins and completely "shutdown" DET when they play.
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Considering that the Tigers' lineups may be comprised of at least 2/3 AAAA hitters, there could be plenty of mediocre or worse SPs who will pitch Cy-like against them.
 
JD Martinez gets about $110 million over five years with Redsox with an opt out.

https://www.mlbdailydish.com/2018/2/19/17029832/jd-martinez-red-sox
Red Sox sign J.D. Martinez to 5-year deal.
The sides agreed to the deal after months of negotiations.
MLBDD

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/02/red-sox-sign-j-d-martinez.html
Red Sox To Sign J.D. Martinez.
MLBTR

J.D. Martinez slugged .768 (in 164 ABs) versus relief pitchers in 2017 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The #RedSox slugged .371 vs relievers -- 4th worst in MLB.
 
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another smart contract. I like the way these contracts are being written. Front load a little bit with player option to opt out. Both JD and Hosmer's contracts go down as they age (if they don't opt out).
 
Last 4 seasons only once more than 123 games. So he is a bit injury prone.
 
Mitchrapp said:
Last 4 seasons only once more than 123 games. So he is a bit injury prone.
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There is but 77 MLB players with more Plate Appearances in that time. That is approximately 2.5 players per team.

2014-2017 Overall

J.D. Martinez (78th PA)

2nd SLG
4th ISO
4th BABIP
5th wRC+
7th OPS
16th BAVG
32nd OBP


Eric Hosmer (25th PA)

36th BAVG
54th BABIP
55th OBP
60th OPS
63rd wRC+
81st SLG
154th ISO

J.D. is easily a top 10 offensive player. Hosmer is questionable at 60. J.D. is going to a "hitters" park and Hosmer is going to severe "pitchers" park.
 
Rebbiv said:
There is but 77 MLB players with more Plate Appearances in that time. That is approximately 2.5 players per team.

2014-2017 Overall

J.D. Martinez (78th PA)

2nd SLG
4th ISO
4th BABIP
5th wRC+
7th OPS
16th BAVG
32nd OBP


Eric Hosmer (25th PA)

36th BAVG
54th BABIP
55th OBP
60th OPS
63rd wRC+
81st SLG
154th ISO

J.D. is easily a top 10 offensive player. Hosmer is questionable at 60. J.D. is going to a "hitters" park and Hosmer is going to severe "pitchers" park.
Click to expand...

I never questioned his offense but you get paid that much (especially as a DH) you better play more than a 123 games.
 
Mitchrapp said:
I never questioned his offense but you get paid that much (especially as a DH) you better play more than a 123 games.
Click to expand...

So if he plays 155 games a season over the next 3 years or so years, that would justify the pitiful money relative to Hosmer?
 
Rebbiv said:
There is but 77 MLB players with more Plate Appearances in that time. That is approximately 2.5 players per team.

2014-2017 Overall

J.D. Martinez (78th PA)

2nd SLG
4th ISO
4th BABIP
5th wRC+
7th OPS
16th BAVG
32nd OBP


Eric Hosmer (25th PA)

36th BAVG
54th BABIP
55th OBP
60th OPS
63rd wRC+
81st SLG
154th ISO

J.D. is easily a top 10 offensive player. Hosmer is questionable at 60. J.D. is going to a "hitters" park and Hosmer is going to severe "pitchers" park.
Click to expand...

from what I understand Petco park isn't bad for LH hitters.
 
tomdalton22 said:
from what I understand Petco park isn't bad for LH hitters.
Click to expand...

http://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=mlbdk2k10ballparks

29. Petco Park (San Diego Padres): It's as much of a pitchers' park as Coors Field is a hitters' venue, and probably more so. To put Petco's Park Factor numbers into perspective, Petco had a 0.789 number in runs and 0.775 in home runs the past five seasons combined, and the next-worst numbers in those categories were 0.935 in runs (Safeco Field) and 0.816 in homers (Busch Stadium). Perhaps Petco's architects took their inspiration from the Grand Canyon, only about 500 miles northeast? Left-handed hitters would believe it; they had a miserable 61 home run index the past three seasons combined. In other words, if you're an Adrian Gonzalez owner, you're obviously rooting for him to get traded, because almost any other venue in the game would help his power stroke.
 
Rebbiv said:
http://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=mlbdk2k10ballparks

29. Petco Park (San Diego Padres): It's as much of a pitchers' park as Coors Field is a hitters' venue, and probably more so. To put Petco's Park Factor numbers into perspective, Petco had a 0.789 number in runs and 0.775 in home runs the past five seasons combined, and the next-worst numbers in those categories were 0.935 in runs (Safeco Field) and 0.816 in homers (Busch Stadium). Perhaps Petco's architects took their inspiration from the Grand Canyon, only about 500 miles northeast? Left-handed hitters would believe it; they had a miserable 61 home run index the past three seasons combined. In other words, if you're an Adrian Gonzalez owner, you're obviously rooting for him to get traded, because almost any other venue in the game would help his power stroke.
Click to expand...

that article was printed in 2010. Since that time they have moved the fences in and lowered them. Also, there have been a few large buildings recently constructed behind RF that has reduced the wind which benefits balls hit towards RF (heard this on MLB radio the other day)
 
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