tomdalton22
Senior Member
- Joined
- Aug 6, 2011
- Messages
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It's only a great deal if Goff ends up being a good QB for the Lions over the next 4 years. If that happens, then it's a HR
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Get StartedBecause they were giving up future assets. Like mentioned before a future first is at best worth the 32nd pick in the draft. For arguments sake lets reference the trade chart.
https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp
That pick is worth 590 points. So even assuming that the pick two years from now is still worth the same that is 1180 points, Carolina's pick is worth 1400 points. The 3rd the Rams threw in is worth at additional 150 points. That puts you at 1330 points without mentioning the 5th they threw in(39 points). That is 110 points short of value which equates to a late 3rd. They had to go above the Panthers offer and throw something is that really interested Holmes which was Goff. Using Wentz as the example for value, it was like they threw in an extra conditional 2nd to put them over the top for Carolina's offer. Plus the fact that they had to wait to truly receiver the value with it being future 1st rounders.
So by using your point method you proved Goff is worth nothing.
It's only a great deal if Goff ends up being a good QB for the Lions over the next 4 years. If that happens, then it's a HR
Cap hits
Wentz
2021 25mil
2022 22mil
2023 25mil
2024 26mil
Goff
2021 28mil
2022 25mil
2023 25mil
2024 26mil
Goff is owed 6mil more then Wentz over the course of 4 years. Goff and Wentz guarantees mean nothing this year as both were acquired to be on the roster in 2021. The only significant difference, which you are correct, is Wentz has an out for 0 dead cap in 2022. Goff would require a 15.5mil dead cap hit if cut in 2022. He has an ourt after 2023.
If you really think 15.5mil in potential dead money in 2022 is the reason why the Rams threw in an extra first for Goff, but Wentz is worth a 3rd and 2nd with a potential to be a 1st thats nuts.
Most of the posters were expecting a 1st at best. Quite a few said no way the Panthers or Broncos would offer their first. I would say two 1sts and a 3rd are more then most expected and is a very good deal. Goff working out would definitely make it the best trade in franchise history.
Goff pushed the Rams offer over the top. What that value was to the Lions I don't know.
Regardless you once again are dancing around what I said.
The better argument is what do the Eagles do at 6? Do they get help for Hurts who they just benched lol. Or do they pick a QB?
The better argument is what do the Eagles do at 6? Do they get help for Hurts who they just benched lol. Or do they pick a QB?
the story of these two trades won't be over for a while. What if the Eagles take a QB that ends up being great, Goff stinks, and the Lions are sitting starting over again in 2023. On the other hand, Goff could end up being a good starter for the next 8 years and the new management team are considered the greatest of all time!
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