me, I believe he didn't lie under oath. Is there anyone who believes Ford told the truth?
If you claim that she’s lying, not knowing much about a human being, what is the probability that someone would destroy their life by going public with a false accusation? Why would she choose to tarnish the reputation of two men by making a false accusation? What is there to gain? Where is the incentive to lie? You can make a claim that she’s seeking fame or a book deal, but this is an extraordinary unlikely thing to do. if you know more about the person, you could think she was a fame seeking person? Did she come across that way? She acted in the opposite manner, she couldn’t get away from the lights and camera fast enough. It seems strange that she would be talking about this problem for 6 years prior just in case Kavanaugh was lying. If you were going to lie about this, would you place a witness in the room? If you put Mark Judge in the room, that person would likely be hostile to these accusations, she encouraged the FBI to talk to him. If you’re going to make something up, this is a horrible way to go about it.
All of the incentives to lie are for Kavanaugh. It seems like he spent most of high school and college as a drunk, Christian, jock, a-hole. Everything he talked about in his yearbook and in other books is how much he drank when he was young, he was a binge drinker and a lot of us were, but it seemed central to his identity. Given the things we know about him from accounts and his yearbook, what’s the probability that he was inappropriate with girls? We know how drunk guys can find themselves in those situations in his frat house atmosphere. It’s not a low probability that he would behave badly with girls.
If she were lying, this would be astonishing given the lack of incentives and the consequences of coming forward. It would not be a reach to think that Kavanaugh would lie about things he did in his youth that would keep him off the court. All of the incentives align with Kavanaugh.
If you take the mistaken identity route, this is different than someone being attacked in an alley and picking someone out of a lineup like we’ve seen in movies. What is the likelihood of mis-identifying someone you already know in that situation? Much less two people? She was talking about making eye contact with the men, trying to read their demeanors, she knew who was on top of her and who was jumping off the bed. The idea that she would be mistaken seems farfetched.
Kavanaugh also said that he didn’t want further investigation of these charges, his behavior was incompatible with innocence. If you know this didn’t happen and this didn’t happen and she’s put another witness in the room, you want the FBI to talk to those people.
I think liberals and conservatives look at this a partisan fight. Liberals wanted to delay this nomination until after the mid terms where they have a small chance of re-taking the Senate, Conservatives wanted the opposite. Either way, it’s hard to really argue that Kavanaugh was telling the truth.
