"Most probable" does not equal "I know". Logic fail again. Please take a probability course.
Yes it does. I know more than you all. I know what the most probable outcome is. And when it occurs, I will be right because I expected it.
You guys expecting 7 or more losses, that's not very probable. It's like in poker when someone gets a lucky card when they had 10% probability of winning. And if happens, I'm going to go Phil Helmuth on your asses.