tomdalton22
Senior Member
- Joined
- Aug 6, 2011
- Messages
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CDC Estimated Numbers: October, 2019 to March 28, 2020
Illnesses: 33 to 55 million (10,091/100,000) (low numbers factored)
Medical visits: 18 to 26 million (5,504/100,000)
Hospitalizations: 400 to 730 thousand (122/100,000)
Deaths: 23 to 65 thousand (7.03/100,000)
This is for influenza, and these numbers have been constant for years.
COVID-19: January 20, 2020 to March 28, 2020
Illnesses: 374,329 (114/100,000)
Hospitalizations: 4.6/100,000 (COVID.NET ... not all of US is included, only 10% of population, NYC is 7.6/100,000)
Deaths: 12,064 (3.68/100,000)
What stands out to me is the ratio of illnesses to deaths with COVID vs. flu.
COVID = 3%
FLU = .0006% (six ten-thousandths)
I clicked on your influenza link. It said 24K deaths and 39M cases (both low end figures) which comes to 0.062%
Also, my guess is that the cases of COVID are at least doubled. In the past I have read that the actual cases (which would include people with very minor symptoms to no symptoms at all) could be 10:1 for every documented case.
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