We had way to much go our way last year...all the late 4th quarter heroics, avrils strip sacks. Good teams dont rely on those types of things happening year in and year out. Even as a pessimistic fan i had the lions winning 9 games this year...when youre losing to bad teams....youre a bad team. I still dont like the way we build...we rely very heavily on the draft yet we use draft picks to draft depth at skill positions. Its a recipe for dissaster.
There is a fine line between winning and losing in the NFL. Things went against the Lions too last year(pick 6 to Talib, Gosder personal foul, Suh personal foul GB, Titus personal foul New Orleans, Ted Ginn return with a block in the back and misspot of 5 yards, Hanson misses vs 49ers and Packers, special teams KO to the Panthers, big punt return at Vikings by Sherels, Joe Webb run, Logan fumble vs Falcons after an offside, worse injuries with less depth Delmas, Houston, Fairley, LeShoure and Best, Calvin fumble on the Peppers hit, Burleson fumble going out of bounds, hell 2 pick 6s versus the Bears and 2 other redzone picks, 3 picks home vs Pack with Stafford playing with a bad finger, fumble vs the Raiders, having to play Alphonso Smith, Brandon McDonald, Don Carey and Chris Harris.
The Lions got some earned breaks too to counter that crap. Like monster come backs(which is the Lions imposing their will on the Vikings, Cowboys, Panthers and Raiders) and more turnovers forced (5 vs the Vikings, 4 vs the Panthers, 3 vs the Cowboys, 3 explosive plays vs the Bears home, Best screen 60 yarder at the Vikings). For some reason that's just missing this year.
I'd say this year they have very very few breaks that are needed for ANY team not just the Lions. For instance the 3 strips the Dline forced this year all have been recovered by the Rams, Packers and Texans accordingly. No picks 6s which having Delmas more than 4 games would help that. There have been some good turnovers like the Houston strip vs the Titans that led to the 27-20 lead and the Houston pick against the Texans.