i dont need next gen stats. Detroit is 21st in 3rd down conversion @ 41%. Right there with a ANDY DALTON/INSERT CRAPPY BACK UP Dallas team. We dont run on 3rd down. Thats on the qb not being able to sustain drives. He is now known for taking a horrible sack on 3rd down...typically to knock us out of or further back of FG range.
Facts.
Next gen stat is a part of the analysis and could be a part of the REASON why 3rd down fails. If nobody is getting open, how in the world is that Staffords fault? And Lions do run on 3rd down and short. They are poor at picking up first downs when running on 3rd and short which is part of that 3rd down %. To ignore that and mainly blame Stafford for the % is dumb.
Also blocking can be an issue. Down and distance is a thing that matters for conversion rate. If its 3rd and 15 because the Lions had a dumbass holding penalty or two bad runs with crap play calls, then the probability of converting 3rd down is very low. Again which is why you can't be putting the majority of the blame on Stafford for that 3rd down conversion percentage because if you watch the plays you can see for yourself what set up that 3rd and long. You have to look at everything. 3rd down conversions alot are Stafford carrying the team in bad situations sometimes with nobody really open. Sometimes its making plays with open guys too and Stafford doing a good job finding them.
And sacks are more on Oline/blitz pickups most of the time not always. Sometimes it could be bad QB pocket presence but that could also be a result of poor blocking, obvious passing downs and weapons not getting open. If nobody is open and there is pressure coming, QBs are going to have to move around in the pocket and could take sacks from it. There is a blocking scheme as well and play calls that could be made differently to keep Stafford cleaner in the pocket. I think you guys blame Stafford a little too much for sacks. Oline is solid but banged up but there are plays when stuff is their fault.
Lions are 9th in league in passing first downs per game.
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/passing-first-downs-per-game
21st in rushing first down per game
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/rushing-first-downs-per-game
Lions 8th most offensive penalties in league.
5th best in 4th down conversions per league converted.
You guys remember like 1 or 2 plays and assume that is happening all the time. Same with the picks or misthrows.
But Lions still very much in this. We'll see how Staffords injury is and what the Lions do in these next 7 games.
Past two seasons has been battle back to .500 by around mid-season then go down in flames in the second half. If that happens again Patricia and Quinn are gone and we got a rebuild on defense and WR. And DT, LB, FS, WR will need to be addressed anyway with FAs/cap crunch with decreasing COVID cap